NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	110		Excitement	4.6 [897]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +16.1%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	1.0 [968]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -12.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.11	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.02	0.05	16	69%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	11	9%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	-0.00	7	94%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	8	94%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	-0.03	12	61%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	20	56%	0.12	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.02	0.11	9	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	27.5	16.4	26.5	2.6	30.2	129.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.5%

TOR +7.4%

LAC -9.2%

TOR +3.4%

TOR +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	15.4	117.0	131.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		103.3	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	14.6	14.1	12.3	14.6
TOR	13.5	16.1	16.6	19.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	3	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	8.7	14.7	-6.08	13.7	16.3	-2.68
Tim Thomas	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-15	18	13.9	15.6	-1.76	17.5	14.2	3.30
Sam Cassell	65	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-8	4	14.3	15.0	-0.70	16.5	15.8	0.73
Quinton Ross	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-2	-8	16.1	13.7	2.38	14.4	17.2	-2.81
Shaun Livingston	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-10	8	14.7	14.4	0.35	16.9	15.4	1.55
Corey Maggette	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-6	0	13.3	16.1	-2.83	16.8	15.5	1.29
Chris Kaman	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	3	-18	15.6	13.7	1.97	14.5	17.6	-3.12
Elton Brand	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	14.6	14.1	0.51	16.4	14.9	1.52
Cuttino Mobley	82	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	3	-18	14.9	12.2	2.64	15.9	18.8	-2.90

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Garbajosa	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-4	20	16.2	16.4	-0.23	13.6	17.2	-3.66
Chris Bosh	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-1	14	16.0	17.8	-1.81	15.0	11.7	3.32
Anthony Parker	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	0	12	15.7	17.5	-1.78	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Jose Calderon	52	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	1	10	15.9	16.7	-0.85	14.7	14.3	0.46
Morris Peterson	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	8	-4	17.6	14.8	2.87	13.1	16.0	-2.88
Andrea Bargnani	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	7	-2	15.3	16.9	-1.60	16.4	13.4	3.02
T.J. Ford	41	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	11	-10	16.7	15.9	0.85	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Rasho Nesterovic	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	10	-8	16.0	16.4	-0.35	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Joey Graham	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	16	-20	18.3	15.3	3.06	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Kris Humphries	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	14.2	16.6	-2.45	19.2	13.8	5.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 96, ORL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
HOU 90, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,1	95.3%