NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	4.0 [966]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +11.3%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.0 [1057]		LVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): -13.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rony Seikaly	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	19	61%	0.07	0	0.00	18	89%	0.05
Gerald Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Horace Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	19	43%	-0.03	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	8	5%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	78%	0.11	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	25	49%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	29%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	27.8	14.8	29.1	2.4	29.2	132.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.1%

ORL -9.3%

CHI +17.4%

ORL -1.7%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.6	91.0	106.8	102.5
season	16.7	16.2		100.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		97.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.0	17.8	13.7	15.9	16.0
CHI	14.3	17.4	17.0	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-15	17	13.7	16.2	-2.49	16.7	16.5	0.14
Derek Strong	33	31	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-22	31	14.0	17.2	-3.20	16.8	16.4	0.42
Darrell Armstrong	42	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	14.5	17.4	-2.86	16.6	16.4	0.19
Bo Outlaw	45	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-17	21	14.5	17.6	-3.08	16.8	16.2	0.59
Gerald Wilkins	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	16.2	16.0	0.21	15.8	16.6	-0.84
Rony Seikaly	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	16.1	15.6	0.45	16.8	15.1	1.77
Anfernee Hardaway	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.8	18.4	-2.62	16.9	11.3	5.58
Mark Price	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	5	-23	17.4	14.5	2.86	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Nick Anderson	55	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	7	-27	17.3	14.0	3.30	15.5	18.2	-2.64
Horace Grant	52	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.19	-29	16	-45	17.7	13.6	4.18	16.3	16.9	-0.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	73	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-7	27	16.4	17.1	-0.64	16.6	13.0	3.57
Randy Brown	24	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	0	13	15.2	17.0	-1.82	18.4	15.1	3.29
Jason Caffey	36	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	0	13	16.3	16.7	-0.43	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Ron Harper	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	3	7	15.8	18.1	-2.31	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Joe Kleine	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	5	3	17.1	16.3	0.74	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Scott Burrell	19	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	8	-3	19.0	15.9	3.14	16.8	15.8	1.06
Steve Kerr	64	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	13	-13	17.0	15.2	1.82	15.1	18.4	-3.29
Luc Longley	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	11	-9	17.4	15.8	1.57	17.7	14.7	2.99
Dennis Rodman	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	15	-17	17.1	16.0	1.07	16.1	15.9	0.16
Toni Kukoc	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	16	-19	16.1	16.9	-0.79	14.9	17.1	-2.23
Jud Buechler	17	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	14	-15	14.3	17.1	-2.78	13.9	16.6	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHH 76, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 115, TOR 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%