NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	4.6 [869]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +11.3%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.0 [1071]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -7.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	16	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	25	64%	0.16	4	-0.05	20	95%	0.04
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	8	83%	0.18	4	-0.07	2	50%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	15	50%	0.04	5	-0.10	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	31.1	17.5	23.5	2.3	36.4	137.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.4%

CHI +4.2%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +3.8%

CHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	15.6	111.5	117.2	104.4
season	17.8	15.5		102.1	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.1		99.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.5	19.3	20.6	13.0	17.8
CHI	17.5	14.1	12.1	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	29	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-15	25	16.1	18.6	-2.53	15.9	15.0	0.92
Vitaly Potapenko	30	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-13	21	14.2	19.7	-5.43	17.2	14.2	2.97
Antonio Lang	9	8	-0.11	-0.38	0.27	0.04	-5	0	-5	17.9	17.8	0.11	15.5	15.3	0.21
Mark West	9	8	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	4	-13	17.6	17.8	-0.26	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Bobby Phills	49	52	-0.20	-0.29	0.10	-0.32	4	-9	13	16.1	19.9	-3.82	16.2	13.9	2.29
Bob Sura	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	0	-5	19.6	15.7	3.90	16.4	14.1	2.30
Tyrone Hill	55	55	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	19.8	14.3	5.51	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Chris Mills	58	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.09	-11	6	-17	18.2	16.9	1.29	13.9	17.8	-3.91
Terrell Brandon	70	70	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	3	-11	18.1	16.6	1.50	14.8	17.6	-2.83
Danny Ferry	80	79	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	17.8	18.1	-0.38	15.2	16.2	-1.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	77	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-12	29	14.7	19.7	-4.96	18.4	14.2	4.21
Ron Harper	78	79	0.46	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	15.3	15.4	-0.15	17.9	16.2	1.70
Dennis Rodman	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-1	7	15.7	14.0	1.73	19.0	14.0	4.94
Scottie Pippen	76	76	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	10	-15	15.4	14.5	0.98	17.7	18.6	-0.97
Bill Wennington	40	40	0.19	0.30	-0.11	0.19	0	5	-5	14.3	16.2	-1.87	16.2	19.1	-2.95
Randy Brown	28	28	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.11	1	4	-3	16.9	14.6	2.33	16.5	18.4	-1.85
Steve Kerr	26	26	0.11	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	10	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.88	15.3	18.8	-3.49
Dickey Simpkins	10	10	0.11	0.38	-0.27	-0.01	4	1	3	14.6	15.4	-0.80	16.9	17.9	-1.01
Jason Caffey	8	9	0.09	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	13.9	15.5	-1.58	19.9	17.6	2.34
Jud Buechler	26	26	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	9	-13	16.8	14.7	2.14	18.8	17.3	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 69, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 56, SEA 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 97, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%