NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	4.6 [886]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +18.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -8.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	12	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.07	-0.04	18	55%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.03	-0.06	13	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.02	9	79%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	12	59%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	26.4	15.7	24.0	1.8	33.3	126.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.4%

LAC +3.0%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +6.8%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.1	102.2	110.9	104.2
season	14.3	14.6		103.1	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	17.8	18.0	13.3	15.8
LAC	15.3	14.1	14.7	18.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	16.3	15.4	0.86	16.7	15.0	1.69
Brandon Bass	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.28	7	-16	23	15.1	16.5	-1.42	16.5	14.8	1.74
Marcus Smart	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-20	31	15.1	16.9	-1.79	16.3	14.6	1.67
Kelly Olynyk	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.47	11	-20	31	15.6	15.9	-0.24	16.0	15.4	0.65
Marcus Thornton	50	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-18	27	15.6	15.9	-0.31	15.9	15.5	0.38
Tyler Zeller	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.12	-13	4	-17	17.0	15.0	2.02	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Jae Crowder	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	7	-23	16.4	15.5	0.98	14.7	16.1	-1.48
Avery Bradley	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	10	-29	17.0	14.7	2.35	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Jared Sullinger	50	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	14	-37	15.6	15.9	-0.26	15.1	16.5	-1.35
Evan Turner	59	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	7	-23	15.0	17.2	-2.25	15.2	16.6	-1.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	69	69	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.01	23	-14	37	15.1	17.7	-2.64	15.5	16.5	-0.98
JJ Redick	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-7	23	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.8	15.7	0.12
Blake Griffin	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	15.8	15.5	0.27	15.4	16.8	-1.44
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	1	7	16.3	14.4	1.90	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Chris Paul	64	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-1	11	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.2	17.2	-1.99
Austin Rivers	31	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	15.7	15.7	-0.01	16.7	15.3	1.38
Spencer Hawes	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	12	-15	15.7	15.7	-0.01	16.7	15.3	1.45
Glen Davis	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	7	-5	13.8	16.3	-2.50	17.2	15.3	1.92
Jamal Crawford	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.26	-10	19	-29	16.4	15.1	1.27	15.8	15.7	0.02
Dahntay Jones	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	16	-23	16.0	15.7	0.31	17.4	15.6	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 86, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 86, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,1	95.2%