NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	81		Excitement	4.5 [949]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +13.9%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.0 [1240]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -12.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.03	10	80%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.05	0.06	19	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	9	20%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	7%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	20	61%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	86%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	17	44%	0.02	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	7	0%	-0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.5	14.5	26.6	2.0	29.4	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.4%

PHX -0.1%

UTA +12.4%

PHX -10.4%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.9	15.4	87.1	101.1	104.1
season	15.2	16.0		99.7	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	12.2	13.9	14.9	14.1
UTA	15.3	17.8	15.4	19.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	9	8	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-18	23	10.3	14.5	-4.14	16.5	16.9	-0.43
Sebastian Telfair	47	48	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.31	12	-25	37	13.5	14.7	-1.23	17.8	15.9	1.94
PJ Tucker	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-14	15	15.3	13.0	2.36	17.3	16.5	0.85
Shannon Brown	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	15.0	13.6	1.41	15.2	17.8	-2.60
Markieff Morris	24	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	1	-15	15.1	13.7	1.36	15.6	17.4	-1.82
Jared Dudley	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	13.6	15.0	-1.41	17.8	15.2	2.60
Luis Scola	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-7	1	14.5	13.0	1.52	17.5	15.3	2.25
Marcin Gortat	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	0	-13	13.4	15.4	-2.00	16.4	17.7	-1.33
Michael Beasley	45	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	4	-21	13.8	14.3	-0.53	16.7	17.1	-0.35
Goran Dragic	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	7	-27	14.2	13.5	0.69	16.4	18.9	-2.51

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	72	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.13	25	-12	37	16.1	19.7	-3.64	14.3	13.2	1.15
Gordon Hayward	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-7	27	17.0	16.4	0.55	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Al Jefferson	70	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.08	22	-9	31	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.1	14.0	0.04
Paul Millsap	59	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-11	35	17.0	16.6	0.39	14.2	13.8	0.40
Jamaal Tinsley	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-4	21	17.4	14.4	2.97	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Derrick Favors	30	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	21	-29	16.2	17.2	-0.97	14.6	13.8	0.79
Enes Kanter	23	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	22	-31	16.8	16.9	-0.09	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Randy Foye	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.28	-12	25	-37	17.3	16.7	0.56	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Alec Burks	21	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.26	-14	27	-41	17.7	16.7	1.06	13.3	14.3	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.78,0.93,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 74, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 83, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 133, DEN 138	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,1	94.7%