NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	3.7 [1074]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +12.5%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.2 [1214]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	6	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Davies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gordon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	11	53%	-0.00	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.05
Alexey Shved	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	9	25%	-0.07	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	13	32%	-0.09	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.00	-0.06	20	60%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	89%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	32.5	16.6	28.2	2.7	34.3	139.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +45.2%

NYK +7.1%

PHI -9.6%

NYK +4.2%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.1	91.2	97.8	104.2
season	14.9	16.1		94.3	98.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.7	15.8	15.7	12.7	15.5
NYK	13.1	16.9	15.6	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-20	32	12.9	16.5	-3.64	16.9	15.4	1.44
Drew Gordon	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-8	8	18.5	15.2	3.26	11.4	16.1	-4.70
Hollis Thompson	41	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-15	22	13.6	17.0	-3.35	15.4	16.3	-0.96
KJ McDaniels	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-10	12	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.8	16.6	-1.77
Alexey Shved	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	18.9	14.8	4.09	13.6	16.2	-2.60
Henry Sims	32	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.9	15.2	1.72
Brandon Davies	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	4	-16	16.3	14.8	1.51	14.8	16.7	-1.96
Michael Carter-Williams	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	15.0	16.1	-1.15	16.6	14.8	1.81
Tony Wroten	69	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.1	16.5	-1.38	16.5	13.8	2.70
Nerlens Noel	74	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	15.1	16.8	-1.62	16.0	15.4	0.61
Luc Mbah a Moute	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	11	-30	16.8	13.4	3.32	15.9	15.8	0.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-11	30	16.2	14.4	1.78	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Iman Shumpert	61	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-8	24	17.3	13.2	4.11	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Quincy Acy	46	45	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-6	20	15.5	16.2	-0.78	16.2	14.7	1.44
Samuel Dalembert	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-4	16	17.0	14.9	2.10	16.0	14.9	1.09
Pablo Prigioni	53	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	7	-6	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Jose Calderon	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	16.1	15.6	0.53	16.1	14.9	1.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	7	-6	14.1	17.2	-3.09	14.7	16.0	-1.31
J.R. Smith	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.40	-12	20	-32	15.6	16.2	-0.59	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Travis Wear	2	0	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	11.5	15.9	-4.45	0.0	15.5	-15.45
Jason Smith	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	14	-20	14.9	16.4	-1.43	15.8	15.2	0.60
Cole Aldrich	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	18.0	15.7	2.27	17.5	15.4	2.14
Tim Hardaway Jr.	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	16	-24	14.1	16.3	-2.16	15.5	15.4	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHA 95, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%