NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	74		Excitement	3.9 [826]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +12.3%
Toronto Raptors	86		Comeback	1.0 [476]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -17.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.05	9	71%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	10	24%	-0.07	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	13	64%	0.15	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	12	63%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	86%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.6	31.3	18.5	26.3	2.4	28.6	137.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.4%

TOR +8.0%

TOR +4.5%

TOR +16.7%

TOR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	17.2	17.5	15.6	89.2	103.6	102.8
season	15.5	16.5		99.4	98.9
opponent	15.2	16.2		102.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.9	14.6	22.0	15.7	17.2
TOR	14.2	14.8	20.4	22.2	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	15	18	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.19	10	-22	32	13.4	18.1	-4.69	20.0	16.8	3.25
Avery Bradley	15	15	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-19	26	14.1	17.9	-3.87	16.3	17.7	-1.37
Kevin Garnett	48	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-20	28	14.9	20.5	-5.61	20.3	13.4	6.95
Mickael Pietrus	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-17	22	16.6	18.0	-1.35	18.8	15.7	3.12
JaJuan Johnson	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-6	0	24.0	16.1	7.90	14.7	17.9	-3.26
Brandon Bass	55	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	2	-16	17.0	17.7	-0.77	16.3	19.4	-3.09
Chris Wilcox	38	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	4	-20	19.4	15.4	4.07	15.2	19.4	-4.20
Ray Allen	57	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	6	-24	17.5	16.8	0.69	17.3	17.8	-0.57
Paul Pierce	61	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	8	-28	17.9	15.5	2.31	16.8	19.3	-2.49
Rajon Rondo	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	4	-20	17.9	13.9	3.98	17.4	17.5	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	64	66	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.11	25	-13	38	17.0	19.0	-2.00	18.1	14.1	4.00
Jose Calderon	62	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.10	24	-12	36	17.0	18.8	-1.75	18.6	12.7	5.91
Aaron Gray	31	31	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-9	30	16.5	18.0	-1.50	19.4	16.0	3.37
James Johnson	50	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-1	14	16.9	18.4	-1.50	18.8	15.0	3.85
Amir Johnson	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-2	16	18.7	14.3	4.36	18.3	14.4	3.85
Linas Kleiza	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	11	-10	20.1	16.2	3.99	15.6	18.1	-2.41
Ed Davis	36	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	19	-26	16.0	18.6	-2.57	15.6	18.4	-2.80
Leandro Barbosa	47	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	21	-30	18.5	16.1	2.48	15.3	19.8	-4.58
Rasual Butler	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	19	-26	15.1	18.0	-2.89	13.0	18.2	-5.18
Anthony Carter	22	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.29	-15	27	-42	17.9	17.3	0.61	12.8	18.6	-5.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
LAL 78, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 73, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%