NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	4.8 [857]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	1.2 [1097]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -14.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	13	62%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	15	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	-0.05	19	42%	0.04	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	49%	-0.08	2	-0.03	13	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.1	14.8	28.6	1.8	33.3	132.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.6%

MEM -5.1%

PHX +21.6%

MEM -5.4%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.7	96.7	105.5	100.5
season	15.3	14.6		102.3	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	17.2	14.2	13.7	15.5
PHX	13.4	17.9	15.8	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-8	8	16.5	15.1	1.36	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Jake Tsakalidis	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-1	-6	16.7	15.3	1.45	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Bo Outlaw	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-9	10	14.9	16.0	-1.07	17.4	15.1	2.32
Wesley Person	41	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	15.1	15.8	-0.63	17.2	15.4	1.79
Earl Watson	40	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.8	-0.66	17.2	15.4	1.86
James Posey	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	16.3	14.8	1.48	15.0	17.1	-2.14
Lorenzen Wright	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	14.8	16.6	-1.81	16.7	15.4	1.35
Shane Battier	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.8	16.3	-1.48	17.1	15.0	2.14
Jason Williams	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	15.8	15.1	0.66	15.4	17.2	-1.86
Mike Miller	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.8	15.1	0.63	15.4	17.2	-1.79
Pau Gasol	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	16.0	14.9	1.07	15.1	17.4	-2.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-7	22	15.9	18.3	-2.41	15.5	15.3	0.18
Joe Johnson	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-3	14	15.4	18.2	-2.88	16.4	13.0	3.33
Jahidi White	49	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	15.9	16.4	-0.51	16.1	14.7	1.45
Shawn Marion	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	6	-4	15.8	18.1	-2.27	15.7	14.7	0.99
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-2	12	15.7	17.2	-1.50	15.8	14.6	1.23
Casey Jacobsen	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	3	2	17.0	15.7	1.23	13.9	16.3	-2.46
Jake Voskuhl	40	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	12	-16	17.0	15.5	1.60	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Anfernee Hardaway	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	11	-14	18.1	15.1	2.95	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Tom Gugliotta	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	12	-16	17.5	15.9	1.57	14.9	15.6	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.81,0.95,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1	95.0%
BOS 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1	94.9%
OKC 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%