inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement7.2 [400] MVPMike Miller (MEM): +27.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback1.1 [916] LVPDarrick Martin (TOR): -18.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.090.011363%0.251-0.06475%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.060.021059%0.081-0.01250%-0.01
Jose Calderon0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.02581%0.092-0.05683%0.00
Fred Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.03283%0.083-0.052100%0.01
Jorge Garbajosa0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001358%0.042-0.0400%0.00
PJ Tucker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01358%0.012-0.02683%-0.00
Kris Humphries-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.01-0.080.031146%-0.101-0.02450%-0.10
Andrea Bargnani-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.001135%-0.083-0.07475%-0.00
Darrick Martin-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18-0.02-0.160.00650%-0.072-0.112100%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.180.120.031584%0.343-0.072100%0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.110.110.030.08-0.011656%0.253-0.13786%0.02
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02473%0.071-0.043100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00367%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.011050%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00460%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Tarence Kinsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alexander Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.08-0.021060%0.154-0.215100%0.02
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02520%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07-0.070.05-0.070.041059%-0.012-0.06786%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.528.316.623.62.434.3135.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +43.0%
MEM +16.5%
MEM +12.9%
TOR -25.5%
MEM +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game14.913.315.4101.0108.9104.5
season15.215.1104.7105.1
opponent15.115.4110.1104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.213.015.215.514.9
MEM11.912.813.615.213.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries27260.09-0.590.68-0.2010-162613.915.3-1.4012.513.6-1.07
Anthony Parker7372-0.01-0.490.49-0.186-121814.216.6-2.4113.113.8-0.70
Joey Graham3130-0.03-0.470.450.06-3-3014.115.3-1.1812.813.5-0.66
PJ Tucker11-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-4222.014.97.159.013.3-4.34
Darrick Martin5248-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-81014.815.1-0.3113.613.00.66
Jorge Garbajosa5961-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-91214.914.9-0.0214.012.31.69
Andrea Bargnani5452-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-2-214.715.1-0.3812.014.7-2.63
Jose Calderon5153-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-82-1015.114.80.3113.013.6-0.66
Rasho Nesterovic6968-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.16-115-1615.414.01.4214.011.82.24
Morris Peterson5856-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-104-1415.813.81.9113.313.20.09
Fred Jones4038-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-137-2015.614.51.1114.012.91.13

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Atkins65670.60-0.100.700.1017-112812.614.6-1.9615.713.52.14
Stromile Swift74740.56-0.060.620.2411-51612.315.9-3.5915.014.80.18
Pau Gasol72750.50-0.000.510.1811-51613.413.10.2714.516.1-1.63
Mike Miller77770.450.050.400.3342213.413.00.3314.915.1-0.21
Rudy Gay53530.340.160.18-0.1015-92412.913.7-0.7816.413.43.04
Eddie Jones43440.100.40-0.300.45-1218-3014.412.41.9913.416.1-2.72
Dahntay Jones25280.080.42-0.33-0.0342212.013.7-1.7215.014.90.11
Tarence Kinsey440.030.47-0.45-0.0015-412.513.3-0.8313.015.0-2.00
Hakim Warrick37370.020.48-0.460.14-410-1413.813.00.8116.314.22.10
Alexander Johnson1920-0.080.58-0.670.09-612-1815.712.73.0113.915.2-1.27
Damon Stoudamire3636-0.100.60-0.700.22-1117-2814.612.61.9613.515.7-2.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 85, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,192.9%
LAL 102, WAS 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.96,0.96,192.7%
NYK 95, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.97,192.5%