inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Excitement3.2 [1135] MVPHarrison Barnes (GSW): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors 101 Comeback1.2 [1196] LVPNick Calathes (MEM): -11.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.001562%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Marc Gasol0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.021066%0.093-0.041292%0.02
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.021158%0.0400.00475%-0.01
Beno Udrih0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.03750%0.031-0.0100%0.00
JaMychal Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Adams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russ Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.010,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04950%0.033-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.06714%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.000.02945%-0.043-0.04250%-0.00
Nick Calathes-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.0340%-0.063-0.0520%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.020.014110%0.1300.002100%0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.021858%0.134-0.072100%0.01
Draymond Green0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.011167%0.113-0.072100%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00659%0.041-0.00540%-0.02
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01375%0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021656%0.074-0.0600%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.04940%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Justin Holiday00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.03.033.016.725.63.530.5136.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +49.9%
MEM -3.4%
GSW +7.6%
MEM -3.1%
MEM -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMGSWNBAMEMGSWNBA
this game16.214.615.192.5107.4104.2
season15.913.6103.8109.2
opponent15.515.299.7100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.416.320.113.916.2
GSW12.314.417.814.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaMychal Green120.00-0.500.50-0.093-18216.016.3-10.2814.014.7-0.65
Jordan Adams120.00-0.500.50-0.093-18216.016.3-10.2814.014.7-0.65
Russ Smith120.00-0.500.50-0.093-18216.016.3-10.2814.014.7-0.65
Vince Carter3636-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-182114.817.0-2.2314.914.50.45
Nick Calathes4042-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-12915.816.5-0.6514.714.60.05
Kosta Koufos1111-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-6-318.015.92.0713.514.8-1.34
Jeff Green5454-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-9315.517.1-1.6014.315.1-0.85
Beno Udrih3636-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-4-716.715.90.8114.814.50.27
Marc Gasol7576-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-3-916.116.6-0.5414.614.8-0.24
Zach Randolph6768-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-172-1917.014.22.8014.714.50.14
Tony Allen7472-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-1-1316.216.10.1514.714.30.42
Courtney Lee6969-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-150-1516.814.22.5914.814.10.71

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes47450.440.060.38-0.0918-32115.114.10.9818.114.43.67
Klay Thompson75750.390.110.28-0.0816-11714.415.6-1.2416.116.5-0.41
Stephen Curry73730.360.140.21-0.051411314.614.7-0.0416.315.80.47
Draymond Green56580.330.170.17-0.1416-11713.616.2-2.6415.916.6-0.69
Andre Iguodala61600.230.27-0.040.14312-913.916.0-2.1515.118.1-2.97
Andrew Bogut46470.200.30-0.09-0.0696314.714.50.2016.715.61.11
Festus Ezeli22200.150.35-0.200.06312-915.014.50.4716.516.10.42
Marreese Speights26260.150.35-0.210.06312-914.214.8-0.6714.916.7-1.73
Leandro Barbosa26250.120.38-0.270.18-217-1915.814.21.5615.916.3-0.34
Shaun Livingston30300.090.41-0.320.12-116-1716.014.01.9515.416.5-1.14
David Lee440.040.46-0.42-0.02213-1123.514.29.2626.515.710.79
Justin Holiday210.000.50-0.500.09-318-2114.014.7-0.656.016.3-10.28
James Michael McAdoo210.000.50-0.500.09-318-2114.014.7-0.656.016.3-10.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 90, MIN 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIN 80, MEM 1090.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
SAS 81, DAL 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%