NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	3.2 [1183]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +9.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.1 [1191]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): -12.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.05	9	86%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	12	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	8	92%	0.14	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	15	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	16	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.2	16.3	25.7	2.4	25.2	125.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.6%

MIN +11.1%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +7.5%

MIN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	97.8	125.0	104.0
season	16.4	15.8		103.7	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	15.8	16.3	17.6	16.3
MIN	14.4	14.8	15.0	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-30	35	14.8	17.8	-3.08	16.1	14.0	2.11
Ryan Humphrey	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-21	17	16.7	16.1	0.64	16.3	14.5	1.82
Mike Miller	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-25	25	14.6	18.5	-3.90	16.4	13.2	3.26
Jake Tsakalidis	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-23	21	15.3	16.7	-1.39	16.8	14.1	2.68
Lorenzen Wright	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	-10	-5	17.6	15.5	2.04	13.8	15.7	-1.94
Dahntay Jones	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-15	5	16.4	16.2	0.13	15.7	14.6	1.17
Bonzi Wells	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-7	-11	17.3	15.0	2.30	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Brian Cardinal	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-11	-3	16.5	16.2	0.30	13.0	15.8	-2.83
Shane Battier	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-6	-13	16.2	16.4	-0.13	13.9	16.8	-2.88
Pau Gasol	56	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	-7	-11	16.3	16.2	0.08	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Jason Williams	45	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.41	-30	5	-35	17.8	14.8	3.08	14.0	16.1	-2.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	50	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.44	34	-9	43	13.4	16.9	-3.49	18.2	13.8	4.41
Mark Madsen	51	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.23	26	-1	27	14.1	16.2	-2.19	17.2	15.1	2.12
Wally Szczerbiak	48	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	6	13	12.7	17.6	-4.90	17.0	15.5	1.51
Kevin Garnett	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	0	25	14.0	16.8	-2.79	16.9	15.2	1.70
Latrell Sprewell	57	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.39	25	0	25	14.2	16.4	-2.25	16.3	16.3	-0.05
Eddie Griffin	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.32	14	11	3	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.7	15.9	0.77
Fred Hoiberg	40	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	30	-35	16.7	13.7	2.99	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Ervin Johnson	22	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	31	-37	18.4	14.0	4.44	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Anthony Carter	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	13.1	15.3	-2.17	13.0	16.7	-3.67
Trenton Hassell	54	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	23	-21	16.8	12.6	4.18	15.0	17.9	-2.97
Troy Hudson	32	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	30	-35	18.1	13.4	4.74	14.1	17.4	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ATL 77, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 86, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%