NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	77		Excitement	3.2 [1135]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +12.2%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.1 [1301]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -7.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Acie Law	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	10	48%	0.06	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	9	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.02	-0.06	13	36%	-0.02	5	-0.06	10	70%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.02	-0.07	10	61%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	13	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	53%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	18	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.3	36.3	19.7	29.2	2.7	39.0	160.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.5%

ATL -9.9%

BOS +13.9%

BOS +11.5%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.4	83.7	101.1	105.7
season	15.4	15.6		104.2	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	15.6	16.4	13.3	15.1
BOS	16.0	13.2	17.1	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	0.0	15.1	-15.11	21.0	15.6	5.37
Solomon Jones	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	9.0	15.2	-6.24	21.0	15.5	5.49
Zaza Pachulia	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-23	27	14.2	15.6	-1.39	16.3	15.3	0.96
Acie Law	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-14	9	16.0	14.4	1.52	15.7	15.7	0.07
Josh Childress	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-12	5	15.0	15.3	-0.26	15.3	16.2	-0.98
Mike Bibby	54	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-8	-3	14.4	16.2	-1.79	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Josh Smith	77	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	1	-21	14.9	16.1	-1.22	15.1	18.5	-3.39
Marvin Williams	64	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-2	-15	14.8	15.8	-1.02	15.7	15.6	0.11
Joe Johnson	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-1	-17	15.9	13.4	2.52	16.1	14.8	1.34
Al Horford	70	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	4	-27	15.7	13.3	2.35	15.9	14.9	1.02

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.25	25	-6	31	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Paul Pierce	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	-9	37	15.0	16.6	-1.67	16.2	13.6	2.61
Ray Allen	72	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	0	19	16.2	13.9	2.34	15.4	14.4	1.03
Kendrick Perkins	45	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.12	19	0	19	16.0	15.4	0.60	16.2	14.1	2.19
Rajon Rondo	68	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-5	29	15.9	15.1	0.75	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Leon Powe	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	21	-23	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.1	15.1	0.01
Sam Cassell	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	20	-21	14.6	16.0	-1.36	16.1	14.8	1.30
James Posey	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	24	-29	15.5	16.0	-0.47	14.2	16.7	-2.58
Glen Davis	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	18	-17	16.4	15.4	0.96	13.9	15.6	-1.75
P.J. Brown	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	22	-25	16.4	15.5	0.86	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Tony Allen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	17.4	15.6	1.81	10.8	15.4	-4.56
Eddie House	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	25	-31	15.6	15.7	-0.12	10.0	15.5	-5.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, MIN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 86, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CLE 83, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%