inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 95 Excitement3.5 [881] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +12.9%
Dallas Mavericks 79 Comeback1.0 [528] LVPShawn Marion (DAL): -12.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.130,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.23-0.000.101584%0.151-0.02771%-0.00
Serge Ibaka0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.040.03-0.071948%0.113-0.04450%-0.01
Derek Fisher0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01956%0.0310.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.000.07764%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
James Harden-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.021038%0.011-0.02667%0.02
Kendrick Perkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01625%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02569%0.061-0.023100%0.02
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.01367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01329%0.0000.0010%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02275%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011545%-0.0100.00862%-0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.021246%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01430%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01839%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.001046%-0.034-0.05475%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.010.00830%-0.073-0.064100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.93.833.119.526.53.531.3146.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +39.8%
DAL -9.8%
DAL -1.0%
OKC +17.0%
OKC +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game15.915.115.6101.185.9102.8
season14.715.5107.9101.6
opponent15.515.8100.9101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.515.416.017.715.9
DAL16.215.914.713.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins56560.54-0.040.57-0.0821-52614.917.4-2.5616.113.42.66
Kevin Durant77770.410.090.31-0.2422-62815.816.2-0.3515.413.61.75
Russell Westbrook62610.400.100.30-0.041511415.217.2-2.0115.913.52.38
James Harden51500.280.220.07-0.2117-11817.114.52.5914.216.1-1.90
Thabo Sefolosha33340.220.28-0.07-0.0597213.517.2-3.7616.914.02.98
Derek Fisher52490.200.30-0.090.06511-616.615.01.6613.816.5-2.72
Nick Collison25240.200.30-0.10-0.181331018.015.12.8213.715.5-1.84
Serge Ibaka52540.150.35-0.20-0.0579-214.617.5-2.9016.113.62.49
Daequan Cook22230.100.40-0.30-0.22115616.915.61.3313.815.5-1.65
Nazr Mohammed1080.000.50-0.500.29-1026-3617.915.72.2512.515.3-2.81
Royal Ivey1080.000.50-0.500.29-1026-3617.915.72.2512.515.3-2.81
Lazar Hayward1080.000.50-0.500.29-1026-3617.915.72.2512.515.3-2.81
Cole Aldrich1080.000.50-0.500.29-1026-3617.915.72.2512.515.3-2.81

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelenna Azubuike8100.00-0.500.50-0.2910-263612.515.3-2.8117.915.72.25
Yi Jianlian8100.00-0.500.50-0.2910-263612.515.3-2.8117.915.72.25
Brian Cardinal1417-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-192212.715.5-2.7717.915.42.50
Ian Mahinmi3029-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-182016.514.42.0816.715.51.15
Rodrigue Beaubois1213-0.07-0.430.36-0.256-222814.215.2-1.0316.815.71.11
Brandan Wright1618-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-202413.915.3-1.3715.616.0-0.42
Brendan Haywood1415-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-9217.014.72.2812.516.5-4.00
Vince Carter5251-0.27-0.23-0.040.26-182-2014.316.1-1.7916.814.91.90
Jason Terry6060-0.27-0.23-0.050.20-160-1614.615.8-1.1916.415.01.40
Jason Kidd6566-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-1-1415.514.01.5615.516.9-1.37
Delonte West3940-0.33-0.17-0.170.16-171-1815.714.61.1814.616.8-2.16
Dirk Nowitzki7575-0.36-0.14-0.220.23-204-2415.313.81.5215.517.3-1.72
Shawn Marion6766-0.560.06-0.620.09-226-2815.414.21.1915.516.8-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, DEN 800.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
UTA 90, NOH 780.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%
LAC 116, NYK 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%