NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	3.7 [1117]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +13.0%
New Orleans Hornets	78		Comeback	1.0 [388]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): -9.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	82%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	78%	0.13	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	13	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	60%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	8	72%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.5	23.2	15.4	27.6	1.8	27.0	121.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +63.2%

NOH -5.8%

NOH -12.0%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	18.5	14.6	15.5	103.4	89.7	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.3		104.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.9	19.1	16.1	20.1	18.5
NOH	13.8	16.9	14.5	13.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	62	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-2	16	17.9	20.1	-2.27	14.2	15.8	-1.67
Al Jefferson	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	-7	26	17.2	20.6	-3.37	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Paul Millsap	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	-1	14	18.0	19.9	-1.93	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Gordon Hayward	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	4	4	19.5	15.5	4.02	14.9	13.7	1.17
Devin Harris	67	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	3	6	18.1	19.8	-1.75	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Earl Watson	55	54	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	12	-12	18.9	17.9	0.95	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Derrick Favors	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	16	-20	19.9	17.3	2.60	15.1	14.1	1.02
Francisco Elson	21	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	20.0	18.0	2.03	16.7	14.0	2.74
Jeremy Evans	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	18.2	18.5	-0.32	18.0	14.2	3.84

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	21	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-9	6	13.9	14.8	-0.98	17.8	18.7	-0.92
Patrick Ewing Jr.	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	7.5	14.8	-7.26	21.5	18.4	3.06
Aaron Gray	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-15	18	15.4	14.2	1.23	18.7	18.4	0.31
Jason Smith	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	13.9	15.1	-1.26	17.2	19.3	-2.09
Jarrett Jack	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-13	14	15.0	14.3	0.76	18.5	18.5	-0.08
Marco Belinelli	42	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	13.2	15.9	-2.77	18.6	18.4	0.22
Willie Green	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-8	4	15.6	13.7	1.96	19.2	17.8	1.40
Carl Landry	51	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	15.1	13.9	1.26	19.3	17.2	2.09
Chris Paul	66	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.7	14.4	0.22	17.9	20.2	-2.33
Trevor Ariza	51	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	3	-18	15.1	13.8	1.30	18.8	18.1	0.67
Emeka Okafor	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	3	-18	14.2	15.4	-1.23	18.4	18.7	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAC 116, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%