NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	116		Excitement	3.4 [1154]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): +12.8%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.0 [871]		LVP	Robin Lopez (NYK): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	5	140%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	7	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	50%	-0.06
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	9	59%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.11	6	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	9	47%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	43%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.10	6	81%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	5	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	17	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	11	27%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	26.8	16.0	40.1	2.4	28.6	139.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.2%

NYK -10.9%

NYK -7.8%

LAC +9.1%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.9	119.6	92.6	105.1
season	14.8	15.6		106.6	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	14.6	13.5	16.1	14.7
NYK	15.2	14.2	17.2	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.17	24	4	20	14.3	15.4	-1.13	16.2	13.8	2.36
Chris Paul	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	9	10	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.3	14.0	2.33
JJ Redick	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	9	10	14.3	15.2	-0.87	16.3	14.2	2.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	42	43	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	3	22	13.9	15.4	-1.50	16.7	14.1	2.64
Paul Pierce	36	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	17	-6	14.9	14.6	0.29	16.1	14.8	1.28
Wesley Johnson	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.28	15	13	2	14.1	15.3	-1.20	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Jamal Crawford	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.20	11	17	-6	15.4	14.1	1.26	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Pablo Prigioni	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	22	-16	15.8	14.0	1.78	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Austin Rivers	45	43	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	22	-16	15.7	13.9	1.74	13.8	16.5	-2.71
CJ Wilcox	14	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	14.6	14.8	-0.19	12.9	15.6	-2.70
Lance Stephenson	14	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	14.6	14.8	-0.19	12.9	15.6	-2.70
Cole Aldrich	38	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	24	-20	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.2	15.9	-1.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	8	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-31	34	10.9	15.7	-4.80	15.6	14.6	0.97
Kevin Seraphin	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.19	-7	-21	14	14.6	15.5	-0.87	15.4	14.5	0.89
Jerian Grant	48	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.19	-8	-20	12	14.2	16.4	-2.24	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Kyle O'Quinn	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-25	22	14.6	15.4	-0.75	15.8	14.6	1.23
Langston Galloway	49	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-24	20	13.1	17.5	-4.40	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Derrick Williams	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.44	-23	-5	-18	15.5	14.9	0.66	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Kristaps Porzingis	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-17	6	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Robin Lopez	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-13	-2	15.9	14.9	0.95	15.1	14.5	0.55
Carmelo Anthony	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	-9	-10	15.7	14.5	1.12	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Jose Calderon	45	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	-9	-10	16.2	14.4	1.80	14.9	14.6	0.24
Arron Afflalo	59	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.33	-28	0	-28	16.8	12.7	4.15	15.3	13.9	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, DEN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 118, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
HOU 104, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%