NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	3.5 [1059]		MVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): +6.8%
Denver Nuggets	80		Comeback	1.0 [1065]		LVP	LaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -12.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Doug West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micheal Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	18	47%	-0.00	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	-0.01	-0.05	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	6	43%	0.00	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	16	24%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	-0.06	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	18	40%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	26.1	15.7	33.3	2.3	28.6	131.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +38.5%

MIN +2.0%

DEN -9.8%

MIN +16.3%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	12.9	17.8	15.6	112.6	86.0	102.5
season	14.8	16.2		105.3	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	13.0	11.3	14.3	12.9
DEN	16.5	19.7	18.2	17.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.25	26	1	25	13.3	11.7	1.62	19.2	13.5	5.76
Cherokee Parks	61	62	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.46	33	-6	39	12.8	13.0	-0.24	17.5	18.5	-0.95
Stephon Marbury	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	3	21	13.1	12.1	1.04	18.2	16.7	1.43
Stanley Roberts	57	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	17	-7	12.0	14.2	-2.27	17.5	18.2	-0.63
Doug West	21	20	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	14	-1	12.3	13.0	-0.69	17.7	17.8	-0.15
Reggie Jordan	35	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	18	-9	12.1	13.3	-1.29	16.9	18.3	-1.39
Terry Porter	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	22	-17	13.5	12.0	1.48	18.8	16.5	2.29
Sam Mitchell	40	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	28	-29	13.8	12.2	1.64	17.5	18.0	-0.49
Tom Hammonds	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.16	8	19	-11	13.1	12.6	0.56	17.5	18.2	-0.73
Micheal Williams	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	9.4	13.1	-3.72	12.4	18.3	-5.83
DeJuan Wheat	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	11.4	13.0	-1.58	12.9	18.3	-5.46

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	14.7	18.0	-3.21	8.0	13.1	-5.14
Joe Wolf	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-24	21	12.9	18.3	-5.46	11.4	13.0	-1.58
Johnny Newman	55	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-19	11	19.0	16.1	2.85	12.5	13.3	-0.78
Anthony Goldwire	56	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-23	19	18.4	17.0	1.36	13.6	11.9	1.73
Danny Fortson	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-17	7	16.9	18.3	-1.36	12.1	13.3	-1.13
Bobby Jackson	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-11	-5	17.8	17.7	0.11	13.4	11.5	1.95
Tony Battie	59	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	-10	-7	17.5	18.4	-0.98	12.7	13.2	-0.47
Eric Washington	44	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.30	-24	-3	-21	15.8	19.6	-3.75	12.4	13.3	-0.84
LaPhonso Ellis	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	-4	-19	18.1	17.1	0.99	13.2	12.0	1.11
Dean Garrett	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.30	-26	-1	-25	19.0	14.3	4.61	13.0	12.4	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAC 116, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
OKC 95, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%