NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	3.4 [1109]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +28.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1203]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (CLE): -13.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.35	0.03	0.10	15	84%	0.29	1	-0.01	14	100%	0.06
Terrence Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	5	82%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.00	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	17	47%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	21	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	13	41%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	11	61%	0.08	6	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	16	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	8	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.0	15.8	32.3	0.6	34.5	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.3%

HOU +17.9%

CLE -12.7%

HOU +13.6%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	13.3	15.1	15.1	114.6	111.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.2		109.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	13.0	12.6	15.5	13.3
CLE	16.8	15.8	15.6	12.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	-16	39	14.4	10.2	4.21	15.7	12.8	2.96
Omer Asik	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-6	19	14.4	11.4	3.00	15.6	14.1	1.50
James Harden	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-13	33	12.4	14.9	-2.51	15.8	13.8	1.99
Patrick Beverley	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-4	15	13.6	12.7	0.86	15.4	14.4	0.99
Terrence Jones	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	12.7	14.2	-1.50	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Donatas Motiejunas	43	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	7	-7	12.5	13.9	-1.42	15.6	14.7	0.93
Jeremy Lin	58	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.37	-9	16	-25	13.3	13.3	0.01	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Omri Casspi	33	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	16	-25	13.8	13.1	0.70	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Jordan Hamilton	26	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.36	-12	19	-31	11.7	13.9	-2.15	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Isaiah Canaan	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	19	-31	12.6	13.5	-0.89	11.1	15.7	-4.58

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-8	9	14.1	16.0	-1.84	14.3	12.5	1.79
Tyler Zeller	65	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.51	16	-23	39	14.2	16.7	-2.55	13.4	13.3	0.05
Seth Curry	20	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.8	1.11	11.9	13.6	-1.76
Matthew Dellavedova	79	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-16	25	14.1	18.8	-4.69	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Jarrett Jack	72	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-6	5	15.8	13.1	2.66	13.8	12.1	1.72
Spencer Hawes	32	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	11	-29	17.2	14.0	3.17	13.3	13.3	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	49	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	9	-25	15.3	14.9	0.40	12.4	14.3	-1.88
Tristan Thompson	53	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	6	-19	15.5	14.6	0.88	12.7	14.0	-1.31
Dion Waiters	81	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	1	-9	15.2	14.6	0.59	13.8	11.3	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 116, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIN 107, DEN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
BOS 113, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%