NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	3.8 [1065]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +24.7%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.0 [915]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -7.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.26	0.04	0.05	14	89%	0.27	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	9	78%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	87%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	40%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Fab Melo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	32%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	54%	0.05	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	26.2	14.7	24.3	2.5	27.4	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.1%

BOS +4.1%

PHX -6.1%

BOS +13.6%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.4	120.2	94.6	104.1
season	14.9	15.2		101.2	99.7
opponent	15.1	16.2		106.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	14.9	18.1	14.7	14.9
PHX	15.1	16.4	16.2	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	9	7	14.3	15.6	-1.25	16.5	15.2	1.25
Jeff Green	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	-1	27	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.1	15.1	1.02
Brandon Bass	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	9	7	15.8	13.4	2.41	16.0	15.7	0.25
Courtney Lee	57	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	10	5	15.8	13.6	2.24	15.9	15.8	0.16
Avery Bradley	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	19	-13	15.8	13.9	1.95	16.3	15.4	0.86
Jason Terry	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.30	16	9	7	13.0	16.4	-3.37	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Chris Wilcox	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.18	9	16	-7	13.9	15.8	-1.95	15.8	16.0	-0.17
Jordan Crawford	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.28	12	13	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.53	15.9	15.8	0.09
Terrence Williams	50	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	15	-5	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Fab Melo	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	15.9	14.8	1.04	13.6	16.1	-2.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	24	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-29	33	15.1	16.1	-1.02	12.7	15.6	-2.87
Marcus Morris	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	14.5	16.1	-1.56	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Diante Garrett	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-19	13	14.5	16.2	-1.77	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Jermaine O'Neal	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-21	17	16.3	15.7	0.62	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Michael Beasley	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-20	15	15.6	16.0	-0.44	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Kendall Marshall	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	-10	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.56	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Luis Scola	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-16	7	17.1	15.3	1.82	16.8	14.0	2.81
Markieff Morris	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-9	-7	15.2	16.7	-1.52	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Marcin Gortat	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-7	-11	17.1	15.2	1.90	16.5	14.0	2.47
PJ Tucker	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-13	1	16.1	15.5	0.54	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Goran Dragic	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	-1	-23	15.9	15.4	0.54	15.0	14.6	0.41
Jared Dudley	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-8	-9	16.1	15.6	0.49	16.2	13.2	3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, CHI 65	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 118, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%