NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	88		Excitement	3.3 [1156]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +7.7%
Chicago Bulls	65		Comeback	1.1 [1235]		LVP	Nate Robinson (CHI): -27.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	82%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	20	55%	0.10	5	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	37%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	0.05	10	50%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	14	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.27	-0.02	-0.02	12	0%	-0.18	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.4	30.6	18.7	28.0	3.5	32.4	142.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +62.6%

CHI -10.2%

CHI -3.1%

CHI -0.5%

MIA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHI	NBA	MIA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.4	101.1	75.6	104.1
season	15.7	16.6		110.2	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.9		102.3	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	14.0	15.7	16.7	15.6
CHI	20.8	18.1	17.0	15.3	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.20	27	-4	31	15.2	19.5	-4.28	18.4	12.1	6.24
Chris Bosh	65	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	2	19	15.1	17.0	-1.86	18.5	15.5	3.05
Mario Chalmers	47	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	8	7	15.4	15.8	-0.40	19.3	16.0	3.29
Dwyane Wade	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	19	-15	16.2	14.8	1.32	18.2	17.1	1.08
Udonis Haslem	30	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	11	1	16.1	15.4	0.75	19.3	16.9	2.43
Shane Battier	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	17	-11	15.1	16.0	-0.90	17.8	17.6	0.18
Ray Allen	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.17	9	14	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.34	17.2	18.2	-0.98
Norris Cole	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	15	-7	15.8	15.4	0.40	16.0	19.3	-3.29
Chris Andersen	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.20	7	16	-9	16.0	15.5	0.54	16.6	18.1	-1.55
Rashard Lewis	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	17.0	15.5	1.48	12.7	18.1	-5.41
James Jones	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	19.5	15.4	4.08	10.2	18.2	-7.96
Mike Miller	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	17.0	15.5	1.48	12.7	18.1	-5.41
Joel Anthony	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	17.0	15.5	1.48	12.7	18.1	-5.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-23	23	10.2	18.2	-7.96	19.5	15.4	4.08
Malcolm Thomas	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	10.2	18.2	-7.96	19.5	15.4	4.08
Nazr Mohammed	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-22	21	17.6	17.7	-0.08	18.4	15.3	3.05
Richard Hamilton	42	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-21	19	16.3	19.0	-2.76	14.8	16.3	-1.41
Taj Gibson	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-16	9	16.2	18.9	-2.71	16.9	14.6	2.24
Marquis Teague	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.24	-14	-9	-5	15.7	18.8	-3.06	16.0	15.4	0.65
Nate Robinson	55	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-14	5	18.8	15.7	3.06	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Carlos Boozer	57	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-7	-9	18.3	16.4	1.89	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Marco Belinelli	44	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	-2	-19	19.0	16.3	2.76	16.1	15.1	0.97
Joakim Noah	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	-1	-21	18.6	15.0	3.63	15.1	17.1	-1.96
Jimmy Butler	81	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	0	-23	18.2	10.2	7.96	15.4	19.5	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
ORL 96, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%