inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement3.5 [1077] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +18.6%
Miami Heat 74 Comeback1.0 [1040] LVPAnthony Carter (MIA): -9.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.190,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.160.030.012766%0.243-0.0520%-0.03
Darrell Armstrong0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03658%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Pat Garrity0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.03250%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05727%0.0000.0010%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.021065%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03954%-0.0200.00650%-0.04
Jeryl Sasser-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.04643%0.013-0.052100%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.00-0.01629%-0.042-0.042100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Lampley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ken Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03533%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.08-0.01-0.071043%0.013-0.023100%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021653%0.063-0.07475%-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00533%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Rasual Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00637%-0.041-0.024100%0.02
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.02-0.041639%-0.032-0.021100%0.01
Brian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01644%-0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.06812%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.03750%-0.015-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.829.316.625.12.424.7125.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +54.9%
MIA -14.0%
ORL +4.1%
ORL +7.8%
MIA -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.014.615.599.075.5101.6
season14.616.3102.794.6
opponent15.915.8100.7103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.315.413.318.515.0
MIA15.512.914.315.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady70700.51-0.010.53-0.072021813.618.5-4.9014.215.4-1.21
Gordan Giricek60620.470.030.45-0.172202213.617.2-3.5314.614.40.23
Jacque Vaughn63650.470.030.44-0.2324-22614.416.1-1.7514.814.10.71
Pat Garrity66670.400.100.30-0.071661013.617.8-4.2014.115.5-1.44
Shawn Kemp44440.280.220.060.04814-614.015.8-1.7914.714.40.26
Darrell Armstrong29290.130.37-0.23-0.04616-1016.414.42.0014.814.50.33
Steven Hunter38380.120.38-0.26-0.02517-1216.913.73.2414.914.40.50
Olumide Oyedeji18170.090.41-0.31-0.08616-1017.214.52.7515.814.31.46
Andrew DeClercq27290.080.42-0.34-0.13715-815.814.71.1614.814.50.28
Jeryl Sasser37360.030.47-0.450.03022-2217.213.63.5314.414.6-0.23
Chris Whitney3333-0.090.59-0.680.03-426-3017.613.64.0314.214.7-0.53

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Lampley1213-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191614.614.60.0319.914.25.71
Ken Johnson1213-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191614.614.60.0319.914.25.71
Travis Best5152-0.03-0.470.43-0.092-242614.015.2-1.2515.614.21.37
Vladimir Stepania3331-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-181415.814.01.8014.515.2-0.78
LaPhonso Ellis3433-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-181415.014.30.6314.315.3-1.07
Eddie House5858-0.23-0.270.030.12-12-10-214.115.3-1.2516.113.32.75
Brian Grant5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-10-214.015.3-1.2314.815.2-0.42
Rasual Butler4443-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-14-8-615.313.91.4113.216.4-3.18
Malik Allen5756-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-17-5-1214.115.3-1.2214.915.0-0.12
Anthony Carter6461-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-8-614.514.7-0.1814.515.8-1.27
Caron Butler6968-0.590.09-0.680.26-297-3615.113.41.6814.017.3-3.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, MIL 760.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
PHX 106, DET 730.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
MIA 88, CHI 650.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%