NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	3.3 [1167]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +15.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	76		Comeback	1.1 [557]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -15.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	9	27%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	7	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	8	30%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	27.3	15.6	25.2	1.8	27.2	122.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.9%

IND +1.0%

IND +4.4%

IND +0.2%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	18.1	16.6	15.5	108.4	91.6	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.5		107.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	16.0	17.2	22.4	18.1
MIL	18.1	17.5	17.1	13.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.29	28	-14	42	16.8	20.2	-3.40	17.6	14.9	2.76
Reggie Miller	47	49	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-8	30	15.8	21.1	-5.32	17.8	14.9	2.96
Anthony Johnson	46	48	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-6	26	16.7	19.8	-3.14	17.7	15.1	2.62
Dale Davis	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-3	20	16.6	19.9	-3.32	18.1	14.9	3.20
Austin Croshere	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	5	4	18.1	18.2	-0.10	16.6	16.6	0.03
Jeff Foster	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	5	4	18.2	18.1	0.16	17.2	16.4	0.72
Fred Jones	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	19	-24	19.9	16.6	3.32	14.9	18.1	-3.20
Scot Pollard	40	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	22	-30	19.6	16.7	2.95	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Eddie Gill	37	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	20	-26	19.8	16.7	3.14	15.1	17.7	-2.62
John Edwards	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.7	18.0	1.74	11.5	16.9	-5.36
James Jones	29	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	28	-42	21.8	16.1	5.63	14.3	17.8	-3.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	12.9	17.0	-4.13	18.9	18.0	0.86
Reece Gaines	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	12.9	17.0	-4.13	18.9	18.0	0.86
Toni Kukoc	40	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-18	22	14.8	18.3	-3.48	19.6	16.8	2.77
Anthony Goldwire	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-24	34	15.1	17.8	-2.70	19.9	16.7	3.24
Erick Strickland	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-16	18	16.2	16.8	-0.62	20.5	16.9	3.57
Marcus Fizer	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-23	32	15.0	18.0	-3.02	20.0	16.3	3.67
Zaza Pachulia	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-17	20	16.5	16.7	-0.20	19.0	17.5	1.51
Dan Gadzuric	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	7	-28	17.4	15.8	1.64	17.2	19.0	-1.78
Joe Smith	44	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	9	-32	18.0	15.0	3.02	16.3	20.0	-3.67
Michael Redd	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	6	-26	17.5	15.4	2.03	16.6	20.1	-3.56
Mo Williams	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	10	-34	17.8	15.1	2.70	16.7	19.9	-3.24
Desmond Mason	43	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	4	-22	18.3	14.8	3.48	16.8	19.6	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, DET 73	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
GSW 133, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	96.6%
ORL 96, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%