NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	133		Excitement	4.3 [943]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +15.4%
LA Clippers	120		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -4.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	18	59%	0.15	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Stephen Curry	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	23	58%	0.15	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
James Michael McAdoo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	19	55%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	19	61%	0.15	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	11	84%	0.08	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	36.2	17.0	31.4	2.7	29.6	146.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.0%

LAC -4.1%

GSW +12.6%

GSW +11.6%

LAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.2	14.8	131.7	118.8	107.7
season	13.5	15.0		114.9	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	17.0	11.5	18.1	15.3
LAC	15.2	12.3	13.3	11.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	1	11	14.9	17.1	-2.22	13.6	11.4	2.27
Klay Thompson	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-3	19	15.2	15.7	-0.54	13.1	13.3	-0.24
Stephen Curry	83	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	0	13	14.5	19.2	-4.66	12.9	14.4	-1.59
Patrick McCaw	61	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	15.5	15.1	0.35	12.1	14.8	-2.68
Andre Iguodala	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	16.2	14.1	2.09	13.1	13.3	-0.15
Ian Clark	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	13	-13	16.2	14.7	1.49	14.3	12.4	1.94
JaVale McGee	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	5	3	14.4	15.8	-1.41	14.3	12.7	1.66
Anderson Varejao	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	13.9	15.7	-1.76	14.4	12.9	1.48
James Michael McAdoo	32	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	13	-13	17.1	14.5	2.62	13.7	12.9	0.82
Kevon Looney	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	10	-7	16.1	15.0	1.11	10.9	14.0	-3.18

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-15	17	9.6	13.8	-4.19	17.3	15.0	2.34
Brandon Bass	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-13	13	12.3	13.6	-1.25	17.5	14.3	3.17
Luc Mbah a Moute	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	-5	-3	12.2	13.3	-1.05	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Marreese Speights	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	13.5	13.0	0.43	17.3	14.4	2.85
Jamal Crawford	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-9	5	13.1	13.3	-0.21	16.3	13.3	2.92
DeAndre Jordan	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	13.3	13.0	0.36	13.8	17.2	-3.40
Austin Rivers	78	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	13.3	12.7	0.68	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Raymond Felton	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	13.7	12.0	1.70	14.7	16.7	-1.93
JJ Redick	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-5	-3	13.3	12.7	0.56	15.3	15.6	-0.38
Blake Griffin	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	13.4	12.8	0.62	14.5	17.0	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
LAL 102, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	96.0%
CHI 98, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%