NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	4.3 [923]		MVP	Horace Grant (LAL): +6.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.1 [799]		LVP	Jim Jackson (CLE): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	26	60%	0.10	7	-0.08	26	88%	0.05
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	54%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	16	57%	-0.03	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	7%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	-0.00	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.2	15.3	28.5	1.6	36.3	137.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +18.6%

LAL +17.0%

LAL +15.1%

CLE -0.5%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	15.5	114.6	107.9	100.9
season	15.6	15.3		106.8	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	17.8	16.2	19.5	17.3
CLE	14.3	18.2	15.8	12.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	17.2	17.5	-0.24	15.2	14.5	0.75
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	2	2	17.3	17.0	0.32	15.0	15.8	-0.89
Mark Madsen	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-5	16	16.1	19.0	-2.85	15.3	14.8	0.57
Tyronn Lue	14	12	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-7	20	16.8	17.4	-0.57	16.2	14.9	1.24
Rick Fox	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	3	0	18.5	16.6	1.88	16.2	14.4	1.81
Brian Shaw	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	17.3	17.2	0.04	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Ron Harper	56	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	17.7	16.6	1.05	14.7	15.7	-0.96
Robert Horry	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	8	-10	18.4	16.5	1.90	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Devean George	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	-1	8	14.8	17.9	-3.15	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Greg Foster	13	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	19.0	17.0	2.03	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Isaiah Rider	20	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	16.7	17.4	-0.73	15.3	15.0	0.32

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-17	28	14.1	15.9	-1.75	19.1	15.8	3.26
Trajan Langdon	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	15.8	14.7	1.13	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Chris Mihm	29	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-8	10	16.2	14.6	1.61	17.7	17.1	0.60
Chucky Brown	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	18.3	14.4	3.90	17.9	17.1	0.72
Robert Traylor	37	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-12	18	12.6	16.8	-4.18	18.2	16.5	1.67
Anthony Johnson	3	4	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	23.0	14.8	8.19	18.0	17.2	0.76
Cedric Henderson	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	14.5	16.2	-1.71	17.9	15.9	2.04
Chris Gatling	42	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	13.4	16.6	-3.15	16.7	17.8	-1.08
Clar. Weatherspoon	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	2	-10	16.5	12.7	3.81	16.7	18.2	-1.51
Jim Jackson	58	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	10	-26	16.0	13.4	2.56	16.0	19.6	-3.63
Andre Miller	74	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	14.7	16.9	-2.14	17.1	18.4	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0,0.01,0	96.3%
CHI 98, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%