NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	3.3 [1081]		MVP	Jake Tsakalidis (PHX): +6.2%
Detroit Pistons	73		Comeback	1.0 [596]		LVP	Joe Smith (DET): -16.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	17	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.01	0.07	8	83%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	31%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	83%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	11	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	27	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	14	21%	-0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	29.0	16.5	25.7	2.2	28.6	129.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.4%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +6.4%

DET -16.3%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.5	111.6	77.7	100.9
season	14.9	14.3		97.7	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		99.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	16.5	13.2	16.1	15.0
DET	16.3	13.5	16.2	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	42	43	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	6	21	15.4	14.7	0.69	16.2	14.8	1.34
Elliot Perry	71	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.35	29	4	25	14.7	15.9	-1.14	15.0	16.9	-1.87
Shawn Marion	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	13	7	15.5	13.8	1.70	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Clifford Robinson	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	9	15	14.1	16.4	-2.25	15.8	14.9	0.87
Tony Delk	73	72	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.35	21	12	9	15.2	14.3	0.97	14.9	17.1	-2.19
Mario Elie	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	16	1	14.8	15.1	-0.32	16.6	15.0	1.58
Rodney Rogers	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.28	13	20	-7	14.7	15.3	-0.59	16.4	14.5	1.90
Daniel Santiago	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.38	15	18	-3	14.1	15.6	-1.45	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Corie Blount	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	15.9	14.9	1.03	13.7	15.7	-2.05
Paul McPherson	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	32	-31	15.8	14.7	1.08	15.9	15.3	0.59
Chris Dudley	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	39	-45	17.5	14.7	2.85	13.1	15.8	-2.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-36	39	15.0	15.6	-0.53	15.5	14.9	0.68
John Wallace	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.33	-12	-21	9	16.2	15.1	1.14	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Jerome Williams	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.27	-11	-22	11	16.0	15.0	1.06	15.2	14.9	0.34
Dana Barros	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.36	-17	-16	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.49	15.2	14.8	0.34
Chucky Atkins	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-25	17	14.7	15.9	-1.24	15.5	14.7	0.88
Mikki Moore	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.37	-19	-14	-5	14.3	16.6	-2.30	15.4	14.6	0.76
Joe Smith	44	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-20	7	16.5	14.6	1.87	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Michael Curry	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-19	5	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Mateen Cleaves	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.30	-21	-12	-9	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.4	14.6	0.72
Ben Wallace	50	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.20	-23	-10	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.15	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Jerry Stackhouse	67	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.31	-30	-3	-27	15.2	16.0	-0.81	14.7	15.8	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
IND 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%