NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	3.1 [1176]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.0 [1010]		LVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): -10.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	20	58%	0.12	2	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	-0.01	0.07	12	92%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ike Anigbogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	57%	-0.00	3	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	17	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	8	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	15%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.6	23.5	14.7	22.4	1.6	27.8	113.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.6%

IND +0.9%

IND +5.2%

IND +2.0%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	14.7	106.1	88.8	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		108.3	103.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.7	14.8	14.4	12.9	13.5
CHI	19.7	14.0	16.3	13.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-1	20	13.6	13.2	0.39	17.2	12.9	4.21
Victor Oladipo	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	1	16	14.0	12.6	1.38	16.5	14.6	2.00
Darren Collison	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	1	16	13.3	13.7	-0.40	17.1	14.0	3.09
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	7	4	13.7	13.0	0.71	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Myles Turner	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	7	4	13.7	13.1	0.61	15.8	15.7	0.06
Cory Joseph	62	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	12	-6	13.3	13.7	-0.36	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Domantas Sabonis	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	10	-2	12.9	14.2	-1.30	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Lance Stephenson	36	35	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	13	-8	12.7	13.9	-1.27	15.6	15.9	-0.23
Al Jefferson	2	2	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	16	-14	7.0	13.6	-6.61	12.0	15.9	-3.85
Damien Wilkins	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.7	13.5	0.29	9.7	16.0	-6.28
Joe Young	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.3	13.5	-0.15	10.3	16.1	-5.80
Ike Anigbogu	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.7	13.5	0.29	9.7	16.0	-6.28
TJ Leaf	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	21	-24	14.8	13.2	1.56	12.6	16.3	-3.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	12.8	16.5	-3.70	13.7	13.4	0.34
Kay Felder	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-18	18	14.0	17.0	-2.97	13.1	13.7	-0.62
Cristiano Felicio	33	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-18	18	14.2	16.6	-2.40	12.1	14.3	-2.18
Kris Dunn	69	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-18	18	13.9	20.2	-6.24	14.2	11.6	2.64
Bobby Portis	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-12	6	14.1	18.0	-3.92	12.9	14.3	-1.38
Denzel Valentine	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-8	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.71	13.5	13.4	0.13
Jerian Grant	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-4	-10	18.7	14.2	4.53	12.9	13.7	-0.80
Lauri Markkanen	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-3	-12	17.2	13.9	3.33	14.0	12.9	1.11
Paul Zipser	27	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-2	-14	19.8	14.2	5.58	11.8	14.0	-2.24
Robin Lopez	53	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	-3	-12	17.0	14.3	2.75	14.6	12.3	2.30
Justin Holiday	60	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	1	-20	16.8	14.1	2.69	13.7	13.1	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 98, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIL 115, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%