NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	3.4 [1080]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +14.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.0 [1080]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	26	63%	0.19	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	9	100%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	81%	0.10	6	-0.10	14	86%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Chris Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	77%	0.03	1	-0.01	12	75%	-0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	73%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Shane Heal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	56%	-0.01	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	0.09	12	60%	-0.07	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	24.5	15.6	30.2	1.8	33.3	134.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.4%

MIN -6.3%

UTA +7.6%

UTA +3.7%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.6	123.7	114.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.0		105.3	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	15.0	16.4	19.7	16.0
MIN	16.6	15.0	14.9	13.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.00	22	-13	35	15.5	19.0	-3.53	15.7	11.2	4.51
Karl Malone	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-6	21	15.3	21.6	-6.34	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Greg Ostertag	52	51	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-15	39	15.2	17.1	-1.93	15.8	13.9	1.95
Jeff Hornacek	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	16.2	15.6	0.58	15.6	12.1	3.54
John Stockton	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-6	21	15.4	18.1	-2.71	15.7	12.3	3.47
Howard Eisley	21	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	15	-21	18.1	15.4	2.71	12.3	15.7	-3.47
Stephen Howard	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	15	-21	19.7	14.9	4.83	13.0	15.5	-2.52
Shandon Anderson	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	11	-13	15.6	16.2	-0.58	12.1	15.6	-3.54
Antoine Carr	24	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.26	-11	20	-31	17.2	15.6	1.57	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Greg Foster	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	13	-17	15.5	16.1	-0.58	16.5	14.8	1.68
Chris Morris	15	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	22	-35	19.0	15.5	3.53	11.2	15.7	-4.51

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Heal	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	7.0	15.1	-8.10	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Sam Mitchell	36	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-14	19	14.0	15.5	-1.55	17.2	15.3	1.88
Cherokee Parks	58	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.54	17	-26	43	13.7	17.0	-3.37	16.9	14.7	2.11
Chris Carr	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-19	29	13.0	16.2	-3.20	18.4	14.5	3.97
James Robinson	64	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.43	13	-22	35	13.8	17.5	-3.72	17.3	13.3	3.97
Terry Porter	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	14.4	15.3	-0.91	17.4	15.0	2.45
Stephon Marbury	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	2	-13	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Kevin Garnett	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	0	-9	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Dean Garrett	32	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	13	-35	17.1	13.8	3.31	14.1	17.1	-3.02
Doug West	29	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	13	-35	17.5	13.8	3.72	13.3	17.3	-3.97
Tom Gugliotta	46	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.28	-28	19	-47	17.0	12.9	4.11	13.9	18.4	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIL 115, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 98, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%