inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement10.2 [50] MVPRay Allen (BOS): +25.4%
Boston Celtics 92 Comeback1.6 [391] LVPKevin Garnett (BOS): -30.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.001054%0.0300.00475%0.00
JJ Redick0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00680%0.204-0.173100%0.02
Brandon Bass0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00250%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,00.08-0.070.011962%0.204-0.191443%-0.22
Matt Barnes-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.02862%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jason Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.08,0.03,-0.060.01-0.07-0.011462%0.246-0.30967%-0.03
Mickael Pietrus-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.16-0.10-0.01916%-0.123-0.131100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.25,0.250.250.140.120.001279%0.292-0.04475%0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.040.04-0.010.05-0.00560%0.102-0.0700%0.00
Michael Finley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01237%0.011-0.03475%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00729%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.001037%-0.073-0.07475%0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,0.16,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15-0.150.06-0.180.032551%-0.042-0.111377%0.04
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3-0.30-0.03-0.260.011248%-0.113-0.19580%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.33.740.220.828.12.740.01.818.0184.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +63.1%
BOS -29.1%
ORL +17.6%
BOS -25.9%
ORL +24.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game15.916.715.399.093.9106.0
season15.415.5110.1105.7
opponent15.715.9102.1101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.714.817.917.112.615.9
BOS15.617.117.317.216.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick60610.82-0.321.150.4114-102415.915.90.0516.816.60.11
Dwight Howard80800.68-0.180.870.458-41215.517.9-2.4117.114.82.37
Jameer Nelson78840.340.160.180.2531215.816.5-0.7216.319.2-2.92
Jason Williams16130.320.180.140.117-31017.215.61.5519.516.33.17
Rashard Lewis67690.270.230.030.009-51416.015.60.4816.417.5-1.14
Mickael Pietrus2421-0.090.59-0.670.06-59-1416.515.70.8618.216.31.94
Matt Barnes5758-0.160.66-0.820.08-812-2015.816.0-0.1316.217.5-1.29
Marcin Gortat1718-0.180.68-0.87-0.07-48-1217.915.52.4114.817.1-2.37
Vince Carter4547-0.240.74-0.97-0.15-37-1016.215.70.5216.716.70.06
Brandon Bass1919-0.270.77-1.03-0.00-913-2217.315.61.7018.316.31.92

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Davis46460.13-0.630.770.024-81217.016.50.5416.315.50.73
Nate Robinson440.06-0.560.630.002-6810.017.0-7.0019.015.83.24
Rasheed Wallace20200.02-0.520.54-0.042-6819.016.12.8718.015.32.71
Marquis Daniels100.02-0.520.530.020-440.016.9-16.890.015.9-15.90
Michael Finley1817-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-2017.316.60.6916.015.90.12
Tony Allen2020-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-62-817.816.41.3616.715.71.07
Paul Pierce8788-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.405-91416.419.5-3.0915.717.8-2.07
Ray Allen8583-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.28-62-816.716.8-0.0615.816.2-0.37
Kevin Garnett7978-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.37-3-1-216.119.4-3.2915.418.1-2.68
Rajon Rondo7979-0.590.09-0.69-0.45-51-617.314.52.7815.816.4-0.67
Kendrick Perkins5150-0.690.19-0.88-0.37-117-1816.516.9-0.3415.516.3-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.16,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 100, WAS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.23,0.02,090.2%
POR 97, NOH 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.05,090.1%
MIA 92, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.32,0.15,089.8%