NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	11.7 [25]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (ATL): +31.0%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	2.0 [695]		LVP	Earl Barron (WAS): -25.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.08	0.23	0.00	3	89%	0.31	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Louis Williams	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.03	18	51%	0.37	1	-0.10	11	91%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	6	100%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	10	50%	-0.19
Jeff Teague	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.01	-0.20	-0.01	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	11	21%	-0.24	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	22	59%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.10	0.00	7	75%	0.12	2	-0.15	10	80%	-0.06
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	22	37%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	6	33%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.32,-0.38,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.08	0.00	10	20%	-0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	32.8	14.8	26.2	2.4	34.2	1.6	15.2	152.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +76.7%

ATL +5.8%

WAS -14.9%

WAS -13.2%

WAS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.4	98.0	92.2	104.1
season	15.1	15.1		102.6	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	15.7	14.7	14.9	16.8	12.5	15.1
WAS	14.9	14.2	16.4	19.2	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	82	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	14.5	17.8	-3.36	16.2	14.6	1.58
Louis Williams	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-3	11	15.2	14.9	0.35	16.0	15.4	0.58
Al Horford	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	15.2	14.9	0.25	16.3	14.2	2.10
DeShawn Stevenson	25	24	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	15.1	15.2	-0.09	16.3	15.7	0.54
Kyle Korver	75	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	14.2	17.7	-3.48	15.8	16.0	-0.11
Jeff Teague	63	64	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	-2	9	14.8	15.8	-1.01	16.5	14.8	1.78
Zaza Pachulia	30	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	16.7	14.5	2.25	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Devin Harris	30	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.0	0.64	13.3	17.0	-3.70
Anthony Tolliver	16	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	12	-19	16.9	14.8	2.12	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Ivan Johnson	29	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	12	-19	16.8	14.5	2.35	16.1	15.8	0.27

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	49	47	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.10	-1	-4	3	16.9	14.9	2.03	15.2	15.1	0.12
Cartier Martin	42	41	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	-4	3	16.5	15.4	1.06	15.2	15.1	0.04
Earl Barron	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-5	5	17.0	14.8	2.15	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Nene	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-14	23	13.4	17.9	-4.53	15.7	14.7	1.02
Shaun Livingston	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	1	-7	15.4	16.1	-0.74	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Jordan Crawford	87	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-4	3	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Chris Singleton	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	9	-23	14.9	16.2	-1.25	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Bradley Beal	77	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	16.7	13.5	3.18	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Kevin Seraphin	37	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.7	15.4	1.29	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Martell Webster	72	74	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.47	-6	1	-7	14.7	18.6	-3.87	15.5	14.2	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.08,0	91.1%
CHI 100, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.34,0.27,0	90.2%
ORL 96, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.16,0.16,0	90.2%