NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	12.3 [15]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +43.1%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	18.5 [45]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -44.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.43	0.02	0.42	0.00	7	56%	0.48	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Jimmy Butler	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.36,0.36	0.08	0.28	0.00	5	93%	0.44	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.09
Kirk Hinrich	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	-0.00	0.31	-0.01	4	80%	0.37	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Nate Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	7	55%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.08
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	17	47%	-0.17	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.17
Richard Hamilton	-0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.3,-0.38,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.07	-0.37	0.00	15	56%	0.00	7	-0.45	6	83%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.4	0.40	0.07	0.33	0.00	5	75%	0.40	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	21	59%	0.20	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.09	-0.03	16	38%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-0.01	8	44%	-0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.16,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	17	34%	-0.12	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.0	3.0	30.2	18.4	26.5	3.7	46.0	1.5	22.3	179.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +78.2%

CHI +6.9%

BOS -7.9%

BOS -40.7%

CHI +13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.4	99.0	98.0	104.1
season	16.6	14.9		101.7	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.0	21.2	17.0	18.5	15.3	17.5
BOS	13.2	14.1	15.1	13.4	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	82	81	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.79	9	-8	17	17.0	19.6	-2.64	13.8	14.8	-1.06
Richard Hamilton	66	66	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.73	9	-8	17	15.9	20.5	-4.68	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Nate Robinson	36	36	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.45	1	0	1	21.1	15.5	5.63	14.3	13.8	0.52
Joakim Noah	90	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	17.0	21.1	-4.05	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Marco Belinelli	37	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	2	-3	19.8	16.1	3.67	14.7	13.6	1.06
Kirk Hinrich	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	-1	3	15.6	20.8	-5.21	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Luol Deng	53	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	-3	7	16.2	18.9	-2.73	14.0	14.0	-0.08
Marquis Teague	2	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	5.0	17.7	-12.74	4.3	14.3	-9.96
Taj Gibson	30	30	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.29	-6	7	-13	20.2	16.4	3.81	15.6	13.3	2.23
Jimmy Butler	45	46	-0.82	1.32	-2.14	-0.53	-10	11	-21	19.8	15.6	4.26	14.3	13.8	0.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	35	33	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.20	5	-6	11	15.4	13.3	2.14	18.4	17.0	1.39
Leandro Barbosa	27	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-3	5	13.0	14.4	-1.31	19.8	16.7	3.08
Jason Collins	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	1	-3	25.5	13.8	11.73	8.5	17.7	-9.17
Courtney Lee	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-3	5	13.7	14.2	-0.48	17.0	17.9	-0.83
Jared Sullinger	69	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	0	-1	14.9	12.0	2.88	17.3	18.0	-0.77
Rajon Rondo	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	2	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.9	20.0	-3.20
Paul Pierce	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-1	1	13.0	16.0	-3.02	16.9	18.7	-1.81
Jason Terry	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	2	-5	14.8	13.2	1.62	17.7	17.2	0.50
Kevin Garnett	75	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	4	-9	13.8	14.6	-0.78	18.0	16.0	2.03
Brandon Bass	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-1	1	13.2	14.9	-1.63	17.5	17.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.08,0	90.3%
ATL 100, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	90.2%
DAL 114, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,0	90.0%