NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	10.7 [44]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +23.6%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	2.8 [304]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -30.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	19	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	42%	0.09	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	19	40%	0.05	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	5	43%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	8	42%	-0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	13	25%	-0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.01	18	67%	0.43	3	-0.19	6	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	10	52%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	6	37%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	2	0%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24	-0.24	0.05	-0.30	0.00	9	69%	-0.22	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.6	27.3	15.7	27.1	2.5	38.2	2.8	15.3	154.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -1.0%

NOH -17.0%

POR +25.3%

POR +45.2%

NOH -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.2	16.2	15.5	103.2	100.0	101.6
season	16.0	15.9		104.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	16.8	17.7	17.9	16.0	18.8	17.2
NOH	16.7	16.6	14.8	16.7	16.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	63	65	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-8	17	17.2	17.4	-0.18	16.9	14.8	2.08
Derek Anderson	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	16.9	18.7	-1.77	15.9	17.6	-1.75
Ruben Patterson	43	43	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	16.9	17.5	-0.60	17.0	15.7	1.27
Bonzi Wells	79	81	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-4	9	17.1	17.9	-0.83	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Arvydas Sabonis	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	3	-5	17.5	17.0	0.51	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Dale Davis	54	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-2	5	17.0	17.5	-0.51	16.5	15.9	0.56
Antonio Daniels	18	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	18.7	16.9	1.77	17.6	15.9	1.75
Zach Randolph	58	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	6	-11	17.4	16.9	0.56	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Jeff McInnis	31	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	9	-17	17.4	17.2	0.18	14.8	16.9	-2.08

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	35	36	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-8	15	16.3	16.2	0.10	17.5	17.1	0.48
Stacey Augmon	25	23	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-4	7	16.1	16.3	-0.23	19.0	16.7	2.28
Jamaal Magloire	71	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	0	-1	16.2	16.5	-0.37	17.2	17.3	-0.12
Baron Davis	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	17.2	15.4	1.80	17.2	17.3	-0.14
Robert Traylor	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	0	-1	16.3	16.2	0.10	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Jamal Mashburn	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	10	-21	16.8	15.8	1.02	16.8	17.6	-0.77
Robert Pack	52	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-3	5	15.4	17.2	-1.80	17.3	17.2	0.14
David Wesley	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.50	2	-3	5	16.2	16.6	-0.41	17.3	17.0	0.26
George Lynch	44	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.67	6	-7	13	16.1	16.4	-0.25	16.8	17.6	-0.87
P.J. Brown	66	64	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.63	-9	8	-17	16.1	16.5	-0.36	17.3	17.2	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	90.8%
DET 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.04,0	90.6%
BOS 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.67,0.45,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.46,0.36,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	90.4%