inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement12.0 [16] MVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): +55.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 90 Comeback2.6 [523] LVPBrevin Knight (CLE): -32.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0.550,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.08,0.55-0.020.580.012452%0.663-0.10887%0.18
Bruce Bowen0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.100.00869%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Mark Strickland0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Harold Jamison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.060.001040%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.05-0.100.00433%-0.1500.00450%-0.04
Tim Hardaway-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.070.002144%-0.043-0.13667%-0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.090.00433%-0.121-0.04450%-0.04
Otis Thorpe-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.00730%-0.151-0.02633%-0.08
Dan Majerle-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.11-0.13-0.0058%-0.211-0.03250%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.44,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.190.19-0.100.29-0.001141%0.241-0.051050%-0.27
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.015100%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.08-0.001159%0.193-0.1000%0.00
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.04-0.00637%-0.055-0.144100%0.02
Lamond Murray0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.08-0.140.011344%-0.122-0.10667%-0.03
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.13-0.19-0.001649%0.065-0.381392%0.09
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42,-0.42,-0.32-0.32-0.12-0.210.001031%-0.231-0.10667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.81.831.015.032.02.642.21.817.2172.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE -23.9%
MIA +17.9%
CLE -4.7%
MIA +54.2%
MIA +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game16.614.015.289.385.7101.7
season15.714.1101.298.0
opponent15.315.9101.598.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.415.917.416.816.816.6
CLE13.614.813.313.714.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway86870.60-0.100.710.407-51216.815.90.9113.316.9-3.60
Otis Thorpe45460.58-0.080.670.445-3817.016.30.6813.614.2-0.59
Jamal Mashburn98990.51-0.010.510.423-1416.912.24.6713.620.2-6.58
Bruce Bowen62630.420.080.350.48-24-616.816.40.4214.812.72.16
Alonzo Mourning44460.240.26-0.020.1820217.216.30.9015.213.02.20
Dan Majerle51530.070.43-0.36-0.023-1416.516.8-0.3812.915.1-2.17
P.J. Brown550.070.43-0.37-0.085-3815.016.7-1.7216.813.82.98
Mark Strickland1819-0.000.50-0.51-0.0002-216.016.8-0.7814.713.80.95
Clar. Weatherspoon4546-0.110.61-0.710.04-57-1216.316.9-0.6613.514.3-0.74
Anthony Carter4140-0.150.65-0.80-0.03-46-1016.216.9-0.7015.213.22.00
Harold Jamison1111-0.230.73-0.96-0.06-68-1414.516.9-2.3512.514.1-1.68

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins110.01-0.510.530.010-223.014.1-11.070.016.8-16.80
Danny Ferry2930-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-3413.214.2-1.0415.817.0-1.14
Mark Bryant2626-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-4615.013.61.3815.717.0-1.27
Andrew DeClercq3231-0.07-0.430.360.05-42-613.914.0-0.1317.516.21.30
Brevin Knight5755-0.08-0.420.34-0.256-81414.313.60.7016.416.9-0.48
Bob Sura7169-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.465-71213.914.1-0.2716.516.9-0.36
Andre Miller4948-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-86-1413.314.5-1.1916.916.40.48
Lamond Murray9390-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.33-20-213.914.2-0.3317.113.63.46
Shawn Kemp8884-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.521-3414.013.80.2416.915.41.56
Wesley Person7981-0.820.32-1.14-0.50-119-2014.312.91.4316.417.5-1.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.32,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.16,0.16,089.8%
MIN 107, LAC 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.08,089.7%
ATL 100, WAS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.23,0.02,087.9%