NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	5.8 [638]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +18.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	90		Comeback	1.9 [389]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -20.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.00	16	51%	0.19	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.11	0.03	6	81%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	85%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.08

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	12	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.07
Derrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	5	31%	-0.08	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	0.00	11	30%	-0.12	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	36.2	20.7	27.8	2.8	55.3	171.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +29.8%

ORL +12.8%

CHA -3.9%

ORL +13.7%

CHA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	17.6	15.3	116.5	107.1	106.0
season	15.4	16.2		110.1	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.3	16.9	17.7	13.4	16.4
CHA	16.0	19.1	19.3	16.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	67	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-5	19	16.0	18.2	-2.25	16.8	20.4	-3.52
Dwight Howard	43	44	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-6	21	15.2	17.7	-2.46	17.0	18.4	-1.45
Vince Carter	65	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-3	15	17.8	12.1	5.62	18.6	14.2	4.42
Rashard Lewis	79	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	3	3	16.5	16.0	0.48	17.3	22.3	-5.05
Mickael Pietrus	33	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	15.4	17.1	-1.67	18.0	17.4	0.63
Ryan Anderson	6	6	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	16.0	16.5	-0.48	22.3	17.3	5.05
Matt Barnes	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	9	-9	16.1	17.0	-0.97	16.4	19.5	-3.13
JJ Redick	21	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	7	-5	14.9	17.0	-2.05	17.0	17.8	-0.83
Marcin Gortat	42	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	15	-21	17.7	15.2	2.46	18.4	17.0	1.45
Jason Williams	18	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	14	-19	18.2	16.0	2.25	20.4	16.8	3.52

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	0.0	17.6	-17.64	16.0	16.5	-0.45
Stephen Graham	1	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	19.0	17.6	1.37	16.7	16.4	0.23
Nazr Mohammed	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-10	11	17.5	17.7	-0.21	18.5	16.1	2.39
Larry Hughes	22	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-7	5	20.5	16.6	3.81	16.9	16.3	0.60
Theo Ratliff	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-2	-5	17.4	17.7	-0.31	18.8	16.0	2.80
D.J. Augustin	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	20.5	16.1	4.39	16.9	16.2	0.67
Boris Diaw	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.8	22.0	-6.15	16.1	17.2	-1.02
Tyrus Thomas	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	18.2	16.8	1.46	15.4	18.0	-2.64
Raymond Felton	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	16.1	20.5	-4.39	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Tyson Chandler	32	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-5	1	20.3	16.0	4.26	17.4	15.9	1.54
Gerald Wallace	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	17.2	22.1	-4.95	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Stephen Jackson	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	17.2	19.5	-2.22	16.3	17.1	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.09,0.03,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 118, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,0	93.2%
HOU 114, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.15,0	93.1%
PHI 81, TOR 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0	92.5%