inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 118 Excitement7.1 [409] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +24.3%
Houston Rockets 112 Comeback1.8 [712] LVPJared Jeffries (HOU): -11.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.140.100.00984%0.2400.0010%-0.01
Kevin Durant0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.100.08-0.011771%0.305-0.11875%-0.01
Jeff Green0.120,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.080.011553%0.1200.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.090.030.060.00460%0.0900.002100%0.01
Nenad Krstic0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00861%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01560%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01-0.060.02-0.021946%0.063-0.071275%0.04
James Harden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.010.000.03357%0.022-0.058100%0.04
Eric Maynor-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01425%0.001-0.0400%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.080.00762%0.1300.00250%-0.03
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.06-0.001460%0.161-0.032100%0.03
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.120.120.120.060.061468%0.1200.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.030.022455%0.103-0.09862%-0.02
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.05-0.01-0.0630%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06-0.060.02-0.030.051453%-0.012-0.054100%0.02
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.00621%-0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.433.515.424.41.835.0136.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +39.9%
OKC +9.1%
OKC +4.3%
HOU -3.0%
HOU -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCHOUNBAOKCHOUNBA
this game14.515.415.5121.6116.7105.7
season15.015.2108.8109.5
opponent14.915.6107.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.613.915.814.914.5
HOU14.716.117.013.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha72730.78-0.281.060.3415-92414.115.8-1.7015.116.1-0.96
Russell Westbrook75760.76-0.261.020.3215-92414.215.6-1.4815.016.7-1.76
Kevin Durant81810.65-0.150.800.3311-51613.917.7-3.9014.818.3-3.53
Jeff Green56560.440.060.380.237-1814.914.00.9015.515.20.26
Nenad Krstic38390.330.170.160.0111-51614.714.30.4015.615.20.48
Nick Collison42410.220.28-0.050.31-39-1215.513.81.6916.814.32.49
Serge Ibaka5149-0.180.68-0.860.05-814-2215.413.51.8915.615.10.49
James Harden4845-0.240.74-0.990.02-915-2413.815.2-1.3514.815.9-1.08
Eric Maynor2220-0.260.76-1.020.00-915-2415.614.21.4816.715.01.76

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger16170.12-0.620.75-0.056-121817.414.92.4216.414.12.25
Terrence Williams12120.05-0.550.600.021-7814.215.5-1.2611.714.9-3.23
Patrick Patterson2625-0.16-0.340.17-0.13-1-5419.313.95.4216.913.73.27
Luis Scola7576-0.18-0.320.13-0.15-1-5414.418.9-4.5413.717.4-3.68
Courtney Lee6262-0.21-0.290.08-0.365-111615.315.5-0.2314.015.4-1.37
Kyle Lowry7880-0.22-0.280.05-0.220-6614.419.4-4.9714.315.4-1.11
Jordan Hill3434-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-93-1215.515.30.2315.414.01.46
Jared Jeffries3637-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-93-1217.414.13.3415.014.20.77
Aaron Brooks6868-0.600.10-0.70-0.33-93-1215.315.5-0.1614.714.00.71
Shane Battier7374-0.690.19-0.89-0.31-137-2014.717.4-2.6814.315.2-0.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 97, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,093.5%
SAS 77, NYK 670.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,093.5%
CLE 97, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,093.4%