inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Excitement6.4 [499] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +13.0%
Miami Heat 90 Comeback1.6 [730] LVPAnderson Varejao (CLE): -14.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.070.02483%0.1300.00475%-0.00
Drew Gooden0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.01769%0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.03762%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Devin Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01856%0.031-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.022649%0.075-0.115100%0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.060.011150%-0.012-0.08475%-0.02
Daniel Gibson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.001020%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.10-0.030.00837%-0.064-0.0800%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.130.130.160.030.062964%0.254-0.12887%0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.02654%0.0000.001100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00845%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01750%0.002-0.052100%0.01
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.030.00250%0.032-0.0900%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.01853%0.023-0.10367%-0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.011233%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.01614%-0.0900.0020%-0.03
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.060.00520%-0.071-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.732.219.526.33.436.5147.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +23.5%
MIA -9.5%
CLE +19.4%
CLE +9.1%
CLE +7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game16.015.515.4106.697.8105.7
season16.416.0104.099.0
opponent15.415.2108.3104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.516.716.416.516.0
MIA14.913.917.915.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James77770.59-0.090.670.2412-51715.419.4-3.9915.316.4-1.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas57580.58-0.080.660.2611-41515.916.1-0.1315.914.81.17
Damon Jones37390.390.110.280.2552317.015.31.7214.616.2-1.54
Anderson Varejao62620.310.190.120.34-18-917.013.83.2615.116.4-1.29
Daniel Gibson49520.310.190.110.2816-517.414.33.1914.916.2-1.33
Sasha Pavlovic39390.280.220.07-0.0110-31313.417.9-4.4916.514.81.67
Larry Hughes54530.110.39-0.280.0525-315.317.0-1.7216.214.61.54
Drew Gooden52500.090.41-0.310.0616-515.117.1-1.9716.714.02.72
Devin Brown2830-0.160.66-0.820.02-613-1918.015.12.9713.716.4-2.72

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount41400.08-0.580.67-0.2411-182913.916.8-2.8814.617.1-2.50
Daequan Cook2322-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-7712.916.4-3.4515.516.1-0.57
Ricky Davis4744-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-7714.916.1-1.1517.614.53.08
Chris Quinn4946-0.20-0.300.10-0.324-111514.916.1-1.2017.414.62.81
Dorell Wright3133-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-1-517.014.82.2114.217.0-2.87
Jason Williams5759-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-114-1516.214.41.7815.616.7-1.09
Dwyane Wade7778-0.510.01-0.52-0.31-70-715.814.01.7915.717.8-2.18
Udonis Haslem8482-0.520.02-0.54-0.28-81-915.614.60.9615.817.9-2.12
Shaquille O'Neal5151-0.580.08-0.67-0.06-1811-2916.813.92.8817.114.62.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 118, HOU 1120.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,093.4%
LAC 96, MIL 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.08,093.2%
CHI 100, DET 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.17,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.01,0,0,092.9%