NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	6.9 [407]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIL): +21.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.3 [479]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -38.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	20	62%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	13	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	51%	0.04	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	20	69%	0.31	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	16	29%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.20	0.01	13	32%	-0.20	4	-0.18	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	29.8	13.8	24.2	2.7	37.2	136.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.2%

LAC +7.9%

MIL -21.1%

LAC +28.7%

MIL -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.4	102.1	94.7	105.7
season	15.6	15.8		99.5	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.1		110.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.1	16.9	15.2	17.5	15.4
MIL	17.9	14.4	14.2	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	60	61	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	14.9	16.1	-1.15	15.3	15.2	0.07
Chris Kaman	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-5	17	15.8	13.1	2.68	15.6	13.9	1.69
Dan Dickau	21	21	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	18.3	14.5	3.78	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Al Thornton	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	15.3	15.5	-0.20	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Cuttino Mobley	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	16.4	14.0	2.35	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Sam Cassell	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	0	7	13.9	16.8	-2.89	15.6	15.0	0.56
Aaron Williams	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.56	16.0	14.9	1.11
Brevin Knight	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.2	15.1	1.15	15.4	15.2	0.20
Corey Maggette	68	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	7	-7	14.8	16.7	-1.85	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Josh Powell	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	14.8	15.4	-0.59	15.4	15.3	0.09

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	22	22	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-15	23	14.5	15.5	-1.09	16.8	14.9	1.92
Royal Ivey	22	23	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-15	23	15.7	15.2	0.52	15.1	15.4	-0.35
Yi Jianlian	55	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-10	13	15.0	15.7	-0.78	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Charlie Villanueva	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	1	-9	16.0	14.9	1.08	13.7	16.2	-2.47
Bobby Simmons	7	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-5	3	14.6	15.3	-0.77	22.2	14.7	7.54
Charlie Bell	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.0	15.0	1.02
Jake Voskuhl	6	6	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	18.8	15.0	3.79	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Desmond Mason	74	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-4	1	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Andrew Bogut	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	3	-13	15.2	15.4	-0.15	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Michael Redd	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.47	14.9	17.2	-2.25
Mo Williams	76	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.24	-13	6	-19	15.4	14.7	0.70	15.7	13.8	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 125, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.32,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.09,0	93.7%
CLE 97, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0	93.2%
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.0%