NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	8.0 [258]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +58.8%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.8 [662]		LVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): -12.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.59	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.59	0.18	0.41	-0.00	19	73%	0.72	4	-0.13	14	86%	0.08
Luther Head	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.00	5	86%	0.27	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	21	54%	0.17	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Vassilis Spanoulis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.16	-0.01	30	56%	0.35	4	-0.08	13	62%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	20	57%	0.21	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.12
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	2	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	49%	0.06	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
James Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	9	28%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.4	15.8	29.2	11.8	41.2	155.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.3%

HOU +8.5%

WAS -10.3%

WAS -4.6%

WAS -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.4	118.8	113.5	104.5
season	15.6	14.8		103.6	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.7	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	16.2	14.5	15.8	14.5
WAS	14.0	17.3	16.1	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	13.3	16.4	-3.08	15.3	15.8	-0.53
Shane Battier	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-2	9	14.4	14.9	-0.42	15.9	13.8	2.12
Juwan Howard	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	15.2	13.3	1.96	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Yao Ming	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	14.6	14.1	0.50	16.0	13.6	2.36
Luther Head	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	5	-5	15.4	13.1	2.32	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Dikembe Mutombo	17	20	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	7	-9	14.1	14.6	-0.50	13.6	16.0	-2.36
Charles Hayes	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	13.3	15.2	-1.96	15.6	15.4	0.14
Vassilis Spanoulis	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	16.7	13.6	3.03	16.7	15.0	1.77
Tracy McGrady	69	69	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.0	16.6	-1.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	21	23	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-9	13	16.6	15.1	1.47	16.5	13.9	2.62
Brendan Haywood	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	15.9	15.4	0.57	15.7	14.3	1.43
Roger Mason Jr.	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.6	15.0	2.58	15.6	14.3	1.24
Etan Thomas	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.0	14.9	1.12	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Antonio Daniels	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-3	1	16.8	14.9	1.91	17.2	13.5	3.65
Calvin Booth	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-7	9	13.7	15.9	-2.22	14.3	14.6	-0.27
James Lang	8	9	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.4	14.2	3.21
Gilbert Arenas	81	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	15.3	16.6	-1.34	14.5	14.9	-0.45
DeShawn Stevenson	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.6	17.4	-2.76	13.3	17.3	-3.98
Antawn Jamison	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	15.3	20.3	-5.02	14.3	19.0	-4.66
Caron Butler	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	15.3	16.0	-0.65	14.2	16.0	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.09,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	93.1%
MEM 94, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.7%
ATL 99, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	92.7%