NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	77		Excitement	3.8 [1032]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +12.3%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.0 [944]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -9.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	20	57%	0.05	7	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	10	61%	0.13	1	-0.00	11	82%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	48%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.03	-0.06	10	47%	0.07	6	-0.11	12	42%	-0.05
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.7	35.0	19.8	29.5	3.6	31.3	152.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +21.0%

ORL +7.7%

ORL +6.2%

ORL +18.6%

CHA -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.4	16.7	15.3	89.5	110.8	106.0
season	16.2	15.4		103.0	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.2	16.6	16.4	18.7	17.4
ORL	16.0	16.1	14.7	20.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	28	25	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-22	29	18.3	16.9	1.39	19.5	15.5	4.05
Derrick Brown	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	11.5	17.5	-6.02	14.0	16.8	-2.75
Stephen Graham	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-14	13	13.6	17.7	-4.15	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Tyrus Thomas	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-20	25	17.7	17.3	0.49	18.1	16.1	2.00
Larry Hughes	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-10	5	17.1	17.4	-0.32	14.7	17.0	-2.26
D.J. Augustin	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-15	15	17.6	17.2	0.42	17.4	16.1	1.26
Tyson Chandler	24	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-6	-3	16.0	17.9	-1.92	16.3	16.8	-0.56
Theo Ratliff	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-2	-11	18.2	17.1	1.08	14.0	17.8	-3.72
Gerald Wallace	69	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	17.8	15.9	1.87	17.5	14.1	3.35
Raymond Felton	60	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	2	-19	16.8	18.6	-1.77	15.8	18.5	-2.70
Stephen Jackson	75	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	-1	-13	17.7	14.9	2.84	16.9	15.5	1.32
Boris Diaw	72	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	4	-23	17.3	17.9	-0.65	16.3	18.7	-2.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	16.4	17.9	-1.47	18.3	13.8	4.49
Marcin Gortat	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	2	11	16.1	17.1	-0.97	17.1	17.6	-0.55
Jameer Nelson	59	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	3	9	15.7	19.0	-3.25	17.1	18.2	-1.09
Matt Barnes	56	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	2	11	16.5	17.0	-0.46	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Vince Carter	67	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	9	-3	16.6	17.2	-0.62	17.6	16.6	1.01
Mickael Pietrus	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	8	-1	19.4	15.9	3.48	18.6	17.0	1.60
Jason Williams	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	12	-9	19.0	15.7	3.25	18.2	17.1	1.09
JJ Redick	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	11	-7	15.2	17.3	-2.02	16.1	17.9	-1.77
Dwight Howard	47	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	13	-11	17.1	16.1	0.97	17.6	17.1	0.55
Ryan Anderson	16	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	17	-19	17.9	16.4	1.47	13.8	18.3	-4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 95, MEM 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 78, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%