NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	4.0 [1008]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.1 [1146]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): -9.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	62%	0.03	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	92%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
T.J. Ford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.09	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Redd	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	18	43%	-0.06	3	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	9	84%	0.19	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	14	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	32.4	16.7	26.2	2.5	26.5	131.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.6%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +7.0%

MIL -2.9%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.7	87.6	106.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		103.6	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	13.9	16.2	14.4	14.7
MEM	13.6	12.8	15.8	16.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-25	30	13.7	16.0	-2.36	15.8	13.3	2.57
Desmond Mason	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-15	10	14.6	14.8	-0.19	15.7	13.9	1.80
Damon Jones	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-11	2	13.9	15.5	-1.54	16.2	13.3	2.92
Dan Gadzuric	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-8	-4	14.0	15.4	-1.46	15.1	14.2	0.94
T.J. Ford	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-5	-10	15.1	14.3	0.80	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Daniel Santiago	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-3	-14	15.5	13.8	1.68	12.9	16.6	-3.61
Brian Skinner	43	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-4	-12	15.9	13.8	2.15	14.7	14.6	0.11
Michael Redd	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.14	-19	-1	-18	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Tim Thomas	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-8	-4	14.9	14.2	0.75	14.7	14.7	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-4	28	13.7	16.8	-3.03	15.1	13.9	1.16
James Posey	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	3	14	14.4	15.6	-1.24	15.4	12.3	3.06
Lorenzen Wright	57	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	3	14	14.5	14.8	-0.31	16.5	12.7	3.73
Jason Williams	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	-1	22	14.2	15.9	-1.69	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Bonzi Wells	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	16	-12	16.8	13.3	3.55	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Mike Miller	21	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	14	-8	11.3	15.6	-4.22	16.6	14.3	2.36
Shane Battier	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	11	-2	14.8	14.6	0.20	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Bo Outlaw	39	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	17	-14	16.5	13.5	2.98	13.7	15.5	-1.73
Earl Watson	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	22	-24	16.9	13.5	3.39	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Stromile Swift	33	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	21	-22	14.7	14.7	0.02	12.8	15.8	-2.98
Dahntay Jones	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	19	-18	14.8	14.6	0.18	13.2	14.9	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.5%
CHA 90, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 68, NJN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%