NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	3.7 [1077]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +14.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	1.0 [1312]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -11.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Jarvis Varnado	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Casper Ware	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonis Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	11	86%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	12	78%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	7	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	24.4	15.8	27.1	2.4	31.3	128.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +21.5%

MEM +15.5%

MEM +15.4%

PHI -5.6%

MEM +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	15.1	95.0	117.0	105.2
season	13.7	16.4		98.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		103.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.4	13.6	12.0	14.0
MEM	13.8	15.9	14.6	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casper Ware	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	12.5	14.2	-1.66	15.0	14.8	0.18
Adonis Thomas	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	11.9	14.4	-2.50	15.1	14.8	0.26
Brandon Davies	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-22	22	11.9	14.5	-2.60	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Byron Mullens	39	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-22	22	11.9	15.3	-3.34	15.9	14.2	1.69
Tony Wroten	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-10	-2	12.8	14.9	-2.15	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Hollis Thompson	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-19	16	15.2	12.7	2.48	15.1	14.6	0.48
Jarvis Varnado	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-13	4	12.8	14.7	-1.89	14.1	15.3	-1.28
James Anderson	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	-5	-12	14.3	13.4	0.92	15.5	13.9	1.63
Thaddeus Young	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-2	-18	15.6	12.0	3.55	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Elliot Williams	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-2	-18	13.0	15.5	-2.51	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Henry Sims	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-7	-8	15.7	12.5	3.21	15.4	14.4	1.02
Michael Carter-Williams	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-8	-6	15.4	12.2	3.23	14.4	15.3	-0.94

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.24	26	-4	30	14.6	15.2	-0.56	15.5	11.8	3.71
Marc Gasol	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	6	10	14.7	15.2	-0.51	14.6	12.8	1.80
Mike Conley	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	8	6	16.1	13.8	2.31	14.9	13.1	1.81
James Johnson	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	5	12	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.4	13.5	0.96
Courtney Lee	46	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	8	6	14.0	15.6	-1.64	15.5	12.6	2.89
Mike Miller	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	13	-4	15.8	14.2	1.59	12.7	14.9	-2.23
Nick Calathes	55	55	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	14	-6	13.8	16.1	-2.31	12.9	15.2	-2.25
Tony Allen	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	14	-6	14.1	15.3	-1.17	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Kosta Koufos	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	13	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.04	13.5	14.1	-0.66
Jon Leuer	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	14.2	14.9	-0.73	12.3	14.2	-1.95
Beno Udrih	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	15.0	14.8	0.18	12.5	14.2	-1.66
Jamaal Franklin	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.1	14.7	1.40	12.1	14.2	-2.07
Ed Davis	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	29	-36	15.8	14.3	1.49	11.7	15.3	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 77, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CLE 81, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%