NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	4.5 [890]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +15.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.1 [913]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -15.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.03	13	64%	0.08	0	0.00	13	69%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.01	0.02	18	42%	-0.07	5	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	0.01	0.04	18	73%	0.18	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	11	86%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	7	78%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.03	-0.06	19	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.6	33.3	19.8	30.4	3.4	39.5	155.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +46.3%

CHA -7.9%

CHA -5.3%

ORL +16.3%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	17.0	15.3	103.5	114.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.4		103.0	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.3	16.1	14.5	17.3	16.5
ORL	16.0	18.2	17.4	16.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	25	27	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.27	12	-21	33	15.1	17.1	-2.05	18.4	16.3	2.12
Theo Ratliff	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-14	19	16.9	16.3	0.54	17.8	16.5	1.28
D.J. Augustin	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-10	11	16.8	16.4	0.39	17.9	16.5	1.45
Tyrus Thomas	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.3	16.4	0.91	19.7	16.5	3.23
Nazr Mohammed	14	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	5	-19	19.1	16.0	3.03	15.2	17.3	-2.08
Gerald Wallace	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-6	3	15.9	21.7	-5.73	16.6	20.2	-3.63
Larry Hughes	38	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	17.1	16.1	0.93	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Raymond Felton	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	1	-11	16.3	17.1	-0.80	16.0	20.1	-4.17
Stephen Jackson	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	1	-11	16.7	16.3	0.37	17.5	15.6	1.97
Boris Diaw	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	3	-15	16.6	15.9	0.74	16.6	20.6	-4.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-5	19	16.9	17.2	-0.35	16.7	16.1	0.59
Jameer Nelson	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-5	19	16.1	20.2	-4.09	16.6	16.2	0.42
Mickael Pietrus	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	17.0	16.9	0.10	16.3	16.8	-0.43
Dwight Howard	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	0	9	16.2	18.0	-1.76	17.2	15.6	1.64
JJ Redick	33	33	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	6	-3	16.6	17.2	-0.61	18.2	15.5	2.67
Vince Carter	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	4	1	17.4	16.3	1.06	15.9	17.5	-1.59
Marcin Gortat	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	18.0	16.2	1.76	15.6	17.2	-1.64
Matt Barnes	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	3	3	16.7	17.2	-0.52	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Jason Williams	17	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	14	-19	20.2	16.1	4.09	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Ryan Anderson	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	14	-19	17.2	16.9	0.35	16.1	16.7	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 80, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 87, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 107, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.91,1	95.1%