NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +41.9%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	3.5 [447]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -22.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	10	76%	0.17	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.12	-0.04	0.10	-0.05	22	45%	0.22	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.05
Andrea Bargnani	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Jose Calderon	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.21	0.04	-0.25	0.01	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.31	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.42	0.42	0.04	0.38	0.00	12	67%	0.58	5	-0.16	12	92%	0.07
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	8	83%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.00	11	69%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	1	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	19	46%	0.02	4	-0.24	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	30.8	18.6	26.6	3.7	45.2	151.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +33.9%

NJN +6.4%

NJN +16.2%

TOR -5.7%

TOR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.4	104.3	106.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	17.4	16.9	15.4	16.0
NJN	15.7	16.0	13.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	22	21	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	17.4	15.5	1.87	16.0	14.9	1.16
Juan Dixon	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-3	5	15.7	16.0	-0.29	14.2	15.2	-1.05
T.J. Ford	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-2	3	17.0	15.6	1.41	15.5	15.0	0.47
Joey Graham	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-1	1	17.9	15.6	2.25	15.8	15.0	0.80
Chris Bosh	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.40	4	-5	9	15.8	17.0	-1.17	15.4	13.6	1.72
Morris Peterson	88	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	15.9	17.4	-1.50	14.9	18.8	-3.86
Jose Calderon	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	1	-3	15.6	17.0	-1.41	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Andrea Bargnani	81	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	4	-9	15.7	17.7	-1.94	14.9	16.9	-2.06
Anthony Parker	78	78	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	9	-19	15.7	17.2	-1.46	15.2	15.1	0.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	81	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-4	9	14.9	17.3	-2.41	16.2	14.6	1.52
Bostjan Nachbar	45	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-10	21	15.0	15.3	-0.25	16.1	15.8	0.34
Richard Jefferson	84	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-2	5	14.9	17.7	-2.85	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Antoine Wright	27	24	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.53	-5	6	-11	14.7	15.3	-0.63	17.5	15.5	1.99
Jason Collins	72	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	1	-1	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Vince Carter	81	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	7	-13	15.5	12.8	2.65	15.5	19.0	-3.47
Mikki Moore	51	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-4	9	15.7	14.4	1.33	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Josh Boone	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	6	-11	15.9	15.0	0.88	16.2	15.9	0.31
Marcus Williams	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	4	-7	16.6	15.0	1.54	16.6	15.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.9%
WAS 92, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.74,1	91.6%
POR 113, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.5%