NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	8.6 [157]		MVP	Mike Miller (WAS): +45.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	2.2 [558]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -32.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.46	0.19	0.28	0.01	10	95%	0.46	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	8	75%	0.26	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Brendan Haywood	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	23	48%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.32	-0.05	-0.26	0.01	18	40%	-0.30	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.24	-0.01	9	52%	0.29	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	10	62%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.11
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	14	57%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	17	55%	0.05	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	26.4	15.5	23.4	2.8	35.7	133.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.9%

CHA +8.0%

CHA +26.1%

WAS -15.6%

CHA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.3	101.1	105.6	106.0
season	15.7	16.2		102.6	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	15.7	16.9	16.5	16.1
CHA	13.8	16.4	16.6	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	15	15	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.05	9	-11	20	14.1	16.6	-2.49	18.4	15.3	3.06
Nick Young	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	17.5	15.9	1.54	13.4	16.2	-2.82
DeShawn Stevenson	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	13.6	16.5	-2.85	18.1	15.5	2.55
JaVale McGee	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	1	-4	19.4	16.0	3.45	15.7	15.9	-0.11
Brendan Haywood	56	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-1	0	15.7	16.8	-1.11	15.9	15.7	0.20
Earl Boykins	30	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	4	-10	17.6	15.4	2.22	14.1	16.7	-2.60
Randy Foye	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.4	17.6	-2.22	16.7	14.1	2.60
Andray Blatche	36	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-3	4	16.2	16.1	0.04	16.0	15.8	0.19
Antawn Jamison	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	16.5	15.0	1.46	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Caron Butler	88	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	5	-12	16.3	12.0	4.28	15.9	15.7	0.19
Mike Miller	69	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.53	-6	4	-10	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.4	17.3	-1.95

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	89	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.9	0.0	15.85	16.1	0.0	16.14
Ronald Murray	43	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Boris Diaw	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.7	16.5	-0.77	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Stephen Jackson	83	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	4	-6	16.1	12.5	3.60	15.9	19.2	-3.24
D.J. Augustin	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-6	14	15.2	16.2	-1.02	16.1	16.2	-0.09
Nazr Mohammed	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-5	12	15.9	15.8	0.07	16.9	15.3	1.60
Raymond Felton	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	8	-14	16.2	15.2	1.02	16.2	16.1	0.09
Tyson Chandler	21	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	4	-6	13.5	16.6	-3.05	16.2	16.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 102, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	92.4%
MIL 100, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1	92.1%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.9%