inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Excitement9.3 [119] MVPWalter McCarty (BOS): +5.1%
Boston Celtics 101 Comeback1.9 [840] LVPGary Payton (BOS): -25.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.001100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Michael Redd0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.10-0.050.031668%0.082-0.06250%-0.04
Keith Van Horn-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,00.09-0.020.071270%0.021-0.036100%0.06
Marcus Fizer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.010.031050%0.041-0.07250%-0.01
Erick Strickland-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.070,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.011055%-0.005-0.12989%0.05
Zendon Hamilton-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.090.00748%-0.122-0.061155%-0.08
Mo Williams-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.21-0.12-0.10-0.021533%0.023-0.2200%0.00
Mike James-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.09-0.14-0.00517%-0.181-0.0420%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.01756%0.071-0.042100%0.04
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.011258%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00150%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0210%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.030.00450%-0.021-0.05683%0.01
Mark Blount0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.011157%-0.023-0.086100%0.03
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.070.00533%-0.081-0.042100%0.02
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.001240%-0.053-0.08683%0.04
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0,0,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.080.001459%0.065-0.201191%0.04
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25-0.25-0.07-0.19-0.011040%-0.151-0.10540%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.333.315.827.52.035.1143.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL -10.5%
BOS +24.4%
BOS +38.4%
BOS +0.1%
MIL -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game17.012.815.5104.2104.1104.0
season16.014.4104.4104.7
opponent16.015.0104.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.918.216.816.117.0
BOS11.911.314.513.912.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland33330.19-0.690.89-0.1913-142716.417.3-0.9111.413.6-2.15
Mike James33350.05-0.550.59-0.229-101916.717.2-0.5412.313.2-0.88
Marcus Fizer39390.04-0.550.59-0.136-71317.116.90.1812.613.0-0.43
Zaza Pachulia10100.00-0.500.510.03-10-116.517.1-0.5811.313.0-1.72
Dan Gadzuric1516-0.15-0.350.210.00-54-917.716.90.7714.812.52.36
Zendon Hamilton3431-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-10-116.817.2-0.4013.212.70.51
Keith Van Horn7678-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.35-32-517.116.80.2813.310.92.36
Mo Williams8383-0.610.11-0.71-0.46-54-917.017.2-0.1512.813.0-0.18
Desmond Mason8080-0.680.18-0.85-0.38-109-1917.216.30.8512.812.80.03
Michael Redd7780-0.680.18-0.87-0.45-87-1517.216.11.1413.011.91.10

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton76740.63-0.130.750.456-51112.713.4-0.6816.917.3-0.33
Raef LaFrentz61620.58-0.080.660.2312-112313.711.42.3617.316.40.90
Paul Pierce67660.51-0.010.510.307-61313.511.32.1917.516.01.53
Mark Blount68670.390.110.280.187-61313.710.73.0316.917.3-0.46
Ricky Davis67660.260.240.020.50-89-1712.613.5-0.9016.917.3-0.45
Jiri Welsch48470.250.250.000.2501-112.213.4-1.1816.717.3-0.58
Tony Allen30280.180.32-0.140.30-45-910.114.1-3.9716.817.1-0.28
Kendrick Perkins55-0.020.52-0.54-0.0201-19.213.0-3.8417.217.00.19
Al Jefferson2627-0.050.55-0.590.16-78-1512.413.0-0.6317.416.90.59
Walter McCarty1414-0.110.61-0.71-0.02-34-713.612.70.8516.017.2-1.20
Marcus Banks2324-0.120.62-0.740.03-56-1112.912.80.0316.817.1-0.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 94, BOS 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.91,192.1%
WAS 92, CHA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.74,192.1%
LAC 87, CHH 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,192.1%