NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	6.9 [411]		MVP	P.J. Brown (CHH): +14.2%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	1.8 [831]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -17.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	6	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	70%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Brian Skinner	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	9	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.01	18	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.07
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	16	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	27.2	15.8	23.2	2.5	31.3	122.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.4%

LAC -8.9%

LAC -8.3%

CHH +36.0%

CHH +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHH	NBA	LAC	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	15.5	98.9	104.5	100.9
season	16.1	15.8		99.5	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.0	15.2	16.3	14.6	16.0
CHH	15.5	16.9	15.7	18.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	18.5	15.7	2.79	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Cherokee Parks	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-5	5	14.5	16.3	-1.86	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Brian Skinner	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	19.1	14.6	4.47	15.5	17.3	-1.78
Eric Piatkowski	28	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	15.0	16.5	-1.43	16.8	16.7	0.09
Michael Olowokandi	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	2	-9	18.1	14.1	4.03	16.4	17.0	-0.52
Quentin Richardson	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.7	15.1	1.55	15.8	18.0	-2.21
Sean Rooks	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	14.1	18.1	-4.03	17.0	16.4	0.52
Corey Maggette	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-3	1	15.7	16.5	-0.82	16.8	16.5	0.34
Darius Miles	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.9	17.1	-2.16	18.4	14.9	3.54
Keyon Dooling	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.5	18.4	-3.96	17.6	15.4	2.14
Jeff McInnis	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	16.8	13.3	3.44	16.6	17.0	-0.37

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	16.6	17.5	-0.97	16.6	12.5	4.07
David Wesley	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	16.8	15.5	1.30	16.0	16.3	-0.35
P.J. Brown	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	16.2	18.3	-2.12	16.6	14.2	2.33
Elden Campbell	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.37	1	4	-3	16.7	16.7	0.05	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Jamal Mashburn	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	4	-3	16.7	16.8	-0.12	16.8	13.4	3.39
Lee Nailon	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	4	-3	17.5	16.3	1.20	14.0	17.0	-2.95
Tim James	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	16.8	16.7	0.12	13.4	16.8	-3.39
Hersey Hawkins	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	16.9	16.7	0.23	13.7	16.6	-2.90
Jamaal Magloire	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	5	-5	17.2	16.6	0.62	19.1	15.1	4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.95,1	92.3%
MIL 100, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1	92.1%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	92.1%