NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	7.7 [282]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +27.3%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	2.0 [417]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27	0.14	0.15	0.02	7	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	13	55%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.34	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.28,-0.32,-0.34	-0.14	-0.18	0.02	21	44%	-0.06	6	-0.28	3	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	10	68%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	13	76%	0.16	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	11	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	11	65%	0.20	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	57%	0.13	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	29.0	16.6	26.9	1.8	42.3	141.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.3%

NYK +8.5%

PHI -8.9%

PHI -0.4%

PHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.5	107.3	114.9	101.6
season	15.3	15.6		102.1	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	17.6	16.0	13.5	15.5
NYK	16.6	14.3	16.0	12.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	16.7	15.1	1.65	13.6	15.2	-1.67
Greg Buckner	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-6	7	15.5	15.5	-0.02	15.6	14.0	1.58
Monty Williams	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.6	15.4	0.18	14.0	15.3	-1.34
John Salmons	5	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.34	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Aaron McKie	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-3	1	15.8	15.3	0.47	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Kenny Thomas	91	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	15.4	18.0	-2.62	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Allen Iverson	84	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	15.2	17.7	-2.45	15.1	12.7	2.43
Tyrone Hill	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.5	15.6	-0.14	16.1	11.4	4.69
Eric Snow	75	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.7	-0.25	14.7	15.2	-0.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	15.3	13.5	1.83	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Kurt Thomas	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-1	7	15.2	14.0	1.19	15.0	16.8	-1.81
Allan Houston	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	15.2	13.5	1.73	14.6	18.1	-3.51
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-1	7	15.2	13.9	1.34	14.9	16.8	-1.95
Howard Eisley	55	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	15.1	14.4	0.64	15.4	15.7	-0.39
Shandon Anderson	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	14.3	15.0	-0.74	16.5	15.0	1.52
Frank Williams	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	16.1	14.6	1.48	12.4	15.9	-3.57
Charlie Ward	28	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	13.7	15.2	-1.48	16.9	14.8	2.09
Lavor Postell	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	14.3	14.9	-0.56	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Michael Doleac	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	6	-7	13.4	15.3	-1.89	17.4	14.8	2.56
Lee Nailon	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	12.1	15.3	-3.19	19.8	14.8	4.99
Travis Knight	29	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	6	-7	14.0	15.2	-1.19	16.9	14.8	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 87, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,1	92.3%
NYK 107, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.72,0.54,0.72,0.85,0.92,1	92.2%
ATL 80, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	92.0%