NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	8.2 [236]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +23.4%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	2.1 [845]		LVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): -15.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	16	64%	0.29	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.06	0.03	21	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	20	50%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	20%	-0.08	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	23	56%	0.23	2	-0.07	13	77%	0.03
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.06	0.06	10	68%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	8	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	15	50%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	59%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	29.3	15.6	27.2	2.4	34.5	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.2%

TOR +30.9%

NYK -16.2%

TOR +18.9%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.8	105.9	116.8	107.7
season	15.0	15.2		106.6	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	16.5	14.2	14.0	14.6
TOR	13.3	12.9	13.5	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-19	27	14.7	14.6	0.16	15.9	13.2	2.68
Willy Hernangomez	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-6	1	16.3	14.5	1.88	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Lance Thomas	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-7	3	15.6	14.4	1.13	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Derrick Rose	82	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.2	16.5	-2.28	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Courtney Lee	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-11	11	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.4	12.8	1.61
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	23	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	14.0	14.8	-0.81	16.5	13.2	3.32
Brandon Jennings	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	4	-19	15.4	14.3	1.10	13.6	14.0	-0.38
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-7	3	14.6	14.7	-0.05	13.2	16.7	-3.50
Justin Holiday	32	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	3	-17	14.4	14.7	-0.27	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Joakim Noah	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	14.6	14.7	-0.11	13.9	13.8	0.12
Kristaps Porzingis	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	1	-13	14.7	14.5	0.14	14.1	13.5	0.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	57	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-6	23	14.5	13.1	1.46	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Kyle Lowry	86	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-7	25	13.8	14.5	-0.68	14.8	13.4	1.39
Norman Powell	65	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-4	19	13.0	15.6	-2.59	14.6	14.7	-0.05
Lucas Nogueira	53	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	3	5	14.8	12.9	1.98	14.3	15.0	-0.65
DeMar DeRozan	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	13.4	15.5	-2.06	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Terrence Ross	34	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	15.3	13.2	2.12	15.0	14.4	0.63
Jonas Valanciunas	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	8	-5	12.9	14.8	-1.98	15.0	14.3	0.65
Cory Joseph	40	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	18	-25	15.3	13.0	2.37	15.0	14.4	0.57
Pascal Siakam	44	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	17	-23	13.1	14.5	-1.46	14.9	14.4	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.72,0.54,0.72,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 113, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.84,1	92.5%
PHI 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.95,1	92.2%
ORL 94, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.63,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.94,0.73,1	92.2%