NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	8.9 [192]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +35.8%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	2.0 [724]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -38.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.12	0.00	5	81%	0.23	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Jake Layman	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	6	93%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.09	-0.01	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Seth Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	19	47%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	21	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39	-0.06	-0.32	0.01	14	40%	-0.29	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.29,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.12	-0.00	23	74%	0.50	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.05
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	6	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	72%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.02	0.07	18	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Tyler Lydon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.8	15.8	27.9	1.8	37.5	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +57.5%

POR -11.7%

DEN +11.6%

POR -6.2%

POR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.3	115.3	120.8	109.3
season	14.9	14.8		112.6	112.0
opponent	14.6	13.9		108.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	14.8	16.4	13.6	14.9
DEN	13.5	14.0	14.2	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	39	37	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-7	11	14.1	15.4	-1.27	15.4	14.5	0.95
Zach Collins	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-8	13	14.6	15.0	-0.40	14.2	15.1	-0.83
Seth Curry	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-7	11	15.4	14.5	0.94	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Nik Stauskas	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-2	1	16.6	14.5	2.10	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Jusuf Nurkic	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-8	13	13.7	16.1	-2.46	16.5	13.1	3.36
Meyers Leonard	38	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	9	-21	17.1	13.5	3.57	12.5	16.3	-3.76
Al-Farouq Aminu	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	3	-9	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.0	14.4	0.53
CJ McCollum	75	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.80	15.6	12.3	3.37
Damian Lillard	77	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.7	15.6	-0.96	14.9	14.4	0.50
Evan Turner	58	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.56	14.2	15.7	-1.55

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	71	73	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.43	15	-12	27	15.2	13.8	1.38	15.1	14.2	0.95
Monte Morris	53	53	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-1	5	15.1	14.4	0.69	15.2	14.5	0.66
Malik Beasley	74	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-4	11	15.2	13.5	1.66	14.9	14.6	0.32
Jamal Murray	66	70	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	5	-7	15.4	13.6	1.78	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Mason Plumlee	43	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-4	11	13.7	15.7	-2.00	16.0	14.0	1.99
Torrey Craig	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-6	15	13.8	16.0	-2.26	15.3	14.3	0.99
Paul Millsap	54	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	10	-17	15.9	13.5	2.39	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Tyler Lydon	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	13.5	15.0	-1.57	15.5	14.8	0.69
Will Barton	29	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	11	-19	14.1	15.1	-1.03	14.8	14.9	-0.15
Juancho Hernangomez	26	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	13	-23	13.9	15.2	-1.23	14.5	15.0	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	91.5%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.3%
UTA 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,1	91.3%