NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	9.0 [98]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +13.2%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.4 [349]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -38.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	71%	0.16	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	5	17%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	11	50%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	15	46%	-0.21	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.09
John Stockton	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.39	-0.09	-0.27	0.03	10	48%	-0.17	4	-0.22	5	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.10	-0.03	19	53%	0.14	3	-0.08	19	95%	0.15
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	9	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	0.06	-0.22	-0.00	20	59%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	0%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	1.7	34.5	15.7	29.0	1.8	39.1	141.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.3%

BOS +6.5%

UTA -21.0%

BOS +30.5%

UTA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.5	107.6	109.6	100.9
season	16.0	15.1		105.3	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	14.8	17.9	16.2	16.2
BOS	14.7	15.2	14.8	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	28	29	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.11	11	-15	26	14.0	17.1	-3.10	16.3	14.1	2.15
Olden Polynice	32	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-7	10	16.2	16.2	0.08	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Jacque Vaughn	27	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	16.4	16.1	0.30	15.2	14.6	0.56
Danny Manning	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.16	3	-7	10	14.0	17.2	-3.21	13.5	15.3	-1.78
John Starks	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	17.6	15.6	1.98	13.8	15.3	-1.51
Donyell Marshall	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	16.1	16.3	-0.20	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Greg Ostertag	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	5	-14	18.2	14.0	4.21	16.4	12.9	3.53
Bryon Russell	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	1	-6	16.0	16.8	-0.86	14.6	15.2	-0.51
John Stockton	65	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	16.1	16.4	-0.30	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Karl Malone	71	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.42	-12	8	-20	16.3	15.9	0.38	14.3	16.5	-2.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	65	62	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-11	26	13.4	17.9	-4.45	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Paul Pierce	64	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	14.2	16.1	-1.93	16.7	15.1	1.58
Milt Palacio	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Vitaly Potapenko	50	45	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-3	10	16.0	13.5	2.51	18.2	14.3	3.88
Antoine Walker	76	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.48	-8	12	-20	15.8	10.4	5.37	16.8	13.7	3.05
Mark Blount	42	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	3	-2	14.0	15.5	-1.51	15.0	17.3	-2.25
Bryant Stith	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-2	8	15.0	14.3	0.67	16.7	15.1	1.58
Walter McCarty	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	1.0	14.9	-13.94	4.0	16.3	-12.33
Randy Brown	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	10	-16	14.9	14.7	0.28	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Chris Carr	14	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	15.4	14.7	0.75	12.0	16.9	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	92.1%
DET 88, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	91.9%
MEM 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.91,0.84,1	91.8%