NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	8.6 [187]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +43.3%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	6.3 [123]		LVP	David Wesley (HOU): -18.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.43	0.25	0.20	0.02	14	94%	0.49	1	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Bob Sura	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.11	0.27	0.00	5	117%	0.42	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.2	0.01	0.20	0.01	19	61%	0.30	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	11	73%	0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	10	14%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	0.17	-0.09	0.25	-0.02	21	48%	0.24	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	7	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.08	0.01	6	87%	0.14	1	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	11	62%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.0	3.4	37.5	21.3	26.3	2.8	41.1	165.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.2%

HOU +3.9%

DAL -22.5%

HOU +15.3%

DAL -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.5	127.0	119.4	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	16.6	18.7	17.6	16.7
DAL	13.7	12.8	17.3	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	44	48	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.46	9	-7	16	16.9	16.6	0.33	15.4	14.5	0.84
Jon Barry	53	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	16.6	16.9	-0.33	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Bob Sura	54	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	16.2	17.5	-1.36	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Tracy McGrady	86	89	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	3	-4	16.8	14.7	2.12	15.3	6.5	8.85
Yao Ming	71	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	2	-2	16.1	19.0	-2.86	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Scott Padgett	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-2	6	15.0	16.9	-1.89	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Dikembe Mutombo	18	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	19.0	16.1	2.86	16.3	14.6	1.69
David Wesley	59	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	16.3	17.5	-1.18	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Ryan Bowen	52	55	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.06	-9	11	-20	17.9	15.1	2.76	14.7	15.3	-0.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	7	6	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	16.7	14.8	1.89	17.8	16.6	1.19
Marquis Daniels	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	13.1	15.4	-2.30	16.9	16.7	0.20
Keith Van Horn	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-8	14	13.2	15.6	-2.37	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Shawn Bradley	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	13.1	15.3	-2.15	15.4	17.0	-1.53
Devin Harris	23	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.7	1.26	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Jerry Stackhouse	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	8	-18	16.3	14.0	2.28	16.3	17.0	-0.74
Erick Dampier	45	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	0	-2	16.8	13.2	3.55	17.8	15.7	2.03
Josh Howard	68	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.56	10	-12	22	14.5	16.2	-1.69	16.6	17.0	-0.33
Jason Terry	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-5	8	14.7	15.9	-1.26	16.8	16.4	0.41
Michael Finley	74	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.1	14.3	0.89	16.8	16.4	0.41
Dirk Nowitzki	84	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-2	2	14.6	18.0	-3.36	16.5	18.4	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	93.3%
OKC 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.68,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	93.0%
LAL 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.23,0.58,0	91.8%