NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	8.7 [125]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +14.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	6.1 [219]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -27.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.15	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.06
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.09,-0.01,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	18	51%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	67%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	11	64%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Nick Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.27	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	20	46%	-0.09	7	-0.19	8	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	14	56%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	15	53%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	14	36%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	11	41%	-0.09	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	29.5	15.0	23.0	1.8	39.2	132.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +3.5%

OKC +25.6%

OKC +31.9%

PHI -8.7%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHI	NBA	OKC	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.6	100.0	94.6	102.8
season	14.7	15.6		107.9	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.8		97.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.5	16.5	18.8	13.6	16.0
PHI	14.5	14.2	15.5	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	62	63	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-8	20	15.6	16.9	-1.29	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Kevin Durant	70	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-4	12	16.0	15.9	0.18	15.4	14.2	1.20
Russell Westbrook	67	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	1	2	16.4	14.9	1.54	15.5	14.1	1.40
Kendrick Perkins	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	16.1	15.9	0.23	15.7	14.2	1.43
Serge Ibaka	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	6	-8	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.6	14.7	0.91
Royal Ivey	25	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	0	4	14.4	16.6	-2.20	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Reggie Jackson	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	1	2	15.4	16.2	-0.79	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Daequan Cook	42	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	5	-6	16.3	15.8	0.48	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Nick Collison	40	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	8	-12	16.1	15.9	0.27	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Nazr Mohammed	21	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	12	-20	17.8	15.5	2.34	13.7	15.6	-1.91

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	57	58	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.01	13	-17	30	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.3	15.5	0.79
Lavoy Allen	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.2	-0.18	17.2	15.2	1.96
Nikola Vucevic	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.61	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Evan Turner	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	1	-6	13.4	16.1	-2.66	16.3	15.8	0.52
Elton Brand	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-10	16	15.7	14.2	1.50	16.5	15.1	1.41
Thaddeus Young	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.44	-2	-2	0	15.2	15.0	0.27	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Jrue Holiday	62	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	16.1	13.3	2.77	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Andre Iguodala	76	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	4	-12	15.5	13.5	1.97	16.0	16.0	0.00
Louis Williams	55	53	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	8	-20	14.1	16.7	-2.61	15.4	16.9	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.68,0.45,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.34,0.27,0	93.0%
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	92.3%
UTA 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	91.8%